Transcript S3.11b

STATISTICS KAZAKHSTAN’S RESPONSE
TO CHANGES IN ECONOMIC SITUATION
MESHIMBAYEVA ANAR
CHAIRPERSON, AGENCY OF THE REPUBLIC OF KAZAKHSTAN ON
STATISTICS
.
CRISIS REFLECTION BY MAIN STATISTICAL
INDICATORS
• Short-term economic indicator and GDP
• Business Register and Medium and Small
Enterprises review on partially active enterprises
• Unemployment rate including hidden
unemployment
• Business and Population Opinion Survey
WWW.STAT.KZ
2
Short-term economic index
This index is calculated on the basis of output indices changes by main
branches, such as agriculture, industry, construction, transport, trade
and communication. Share of these branches in GDP volume is about
67- 68%.
GDP
GDP in Kazakhstan is produced by three methods:by production, by
income and by expenditures. The main is the production method.
Volume index also has suffered fall since 2006 diminiuishing from
110.7% to 97.8% in January-March 2009.
WWW.STAT.KZ
Macroeconomic situation estimation with a
short-term economic index
1.Short term economic index
to the relevant month of previous year
2.Volume index of GDP
quarter to the relevant quarter of previous year
114,0
108
112,0
110,0
104
108,0
106,0
100
104,0
102,0
96
100,0
98,0
96,0
92
I
II
III IV
V
VI VII VIII IX
2008
X
XI XII
I
II
III
IV
2009
I
II
III IV
2003
I
II
III IV
2004
I
II
III IV
2005
I
II
III IV
2006
I
II
III IV
2007
I
II
III IV
2008*
I
2009
4
PARTIALLY ACTIVE BUSINESSES
3.Changes in the number of active small enterprises
In % to the relevant period of the previous year
125
The special attention
deserves subjects of small
enterprises, forming the
bulk of businesses. They
include individual
enterprises, businesses
realizing private
entrepreneurship and
farmers. While individual
enterprises decline has
started from March 2008, the
businesses fall observed
from August 2008
110
95
80
I
I-II
I-III
I-IV
I-V
I-VI
I-VII
I-VIII
I-IX
I-X
I-XI
I-XII
I
2008
businesses (legal persons)
individual enterprises
farmers
I-II
I-III
I-IV
2009
5
UNEMPLOYED PERSONS
4. Unemployment rate
in %
Agency carries out monthly
estimation of number of
unemployed persons and
unemployment rate. The
rate of unemployment in
April 2009 – 7.2% and hidden
unemployment rate in April –
1.5%.
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
I
II
III
IV
V
VI
VII
VIII
IX
X
XI
XII
I
2008
registered unemployment ratio
II
III
IV
2009
unemployment rate
6
BUSINESS AND POPULATION OPINION
5. Enterprise confidence index
in percentage to the previous year
6. Consumer activeness index
in percentage to the previous year
20
40
35
15
30
25
20
10
15
10
5
5
0
0
-5
-10
I
-5
-10
I
I
II
IV
V
VI
VII
VII
IX
X
2008
industry trade
XI
XII
I
I
II
IV
2009
II
III IV
V VI VII VIII IX
2007
X XI XII
I
II
III IV
V VI VII VIII IX
X XI XII
2008
I
II
III IV
2009
consumer perception index economic climate index
purchase intention index
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