Application of MODIS SSTs within WRF Science Advisory Committee Meeting 13 June 2007
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Application of MODIS SSTs within WRF Science Advisory Committee Meeting 13 June 2007 LaCasse, Splitt, Lazarus & Lapenta 1 transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to the NWS Motivation for using High-Resolution MODIS SST Fields in NWP Models SST known to influence coastal mesoscale processes Can impact warm-season SST precipitation distribution Sea breeze circulations important to heavily populated areas (HOU, NYC) Strong influence on height of marine boundary layer 2 transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to the NWS Differences Between RTG and MODIS SSTs Along the Florida East Coast RTG_SST MODIS Composite MODIS - RTG Better definition of mesoscale SST gradients 3 transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to the NWS Experiment Design to Isolate Impacts Associated with Altering SST ARPS Data Analysis System (ADAS) provides ICs for WRF • ADAS uses the Bratseth assimilation scheme • 20 km RUC used as background field for ADAS • Measurements ingested include surface and upperair observations and radar radial winds • Direct insertion of SST fields ADAS • • • • • • • Eulerian mass core Dudhia shortwave radiation RRTM longwave radiation Noah land surface model YSU planetary boundary layer scheme Explicit convection WSM 6-class microphysics scheme ADAS 3h WRF simulation 21 UTC Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model used for simulations 3h Eta forecasts used for LBCs Dynamics and Physics: 00 UTC 24h WRF simulation 00 UTC 4 transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to the NWS May 2004 Study Period Methodology • 24 h WRF-ARW simulations run daily for May 2004 SST Difference (MODIS – RTG; K) 14 May 2004 • 2 km resolution; 51 vertical levels • Parallel runs using either the ½° RTG SST analyses or the 1 km MODIS SST composites Determine overall impact • Average similar flow regimes: o Easterlies (9 - 19 May) o Westerlies (27 - 31 May) • Focus on the nighttime hours (5 - 11 UTC) 5 transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to the NWS Surface Energy Budget A positive net sensible heat flux associated with the warmer SSTs Sensible heat flux difference (MODIS – RTG; Wm-2) 05 to 11 UTC, westerly cases Increased mixing over the warmer MODIS SSTs also led to an increase in PBL height over the Florida Current PBL height difference (MODIS – RTG; m) 05 to 11 UTC, westerly cases 6 transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to the NWS Mesoscale Convergence Enhanced regions of convergence were seen when using the MODIS SSTs observed cumulus While the locations were not exactly correct, simulations with the RTG SSTs did not have these features convergence zones Visible GOES image from 1130 UTC 06 May 2004 MODIS WRF 10 m convergence (contours, every 0.5 s-1 * 106) valid at 1200 UTC (12 h simulation) MODIS WRF simulations produced 6% more daily accumulated precipitation (27% more along the Florida Current) when averaged over May 2004 7 transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to the NWS Progress since last SAC Meeting Concluded the May 2004 study period • Presented preliminary results at the 2006 AMS Annual Meeting and the June 2006 WRF Users’ Workshop • Prepared a manuscript for Monthly Weather Review (revised version submitted May 2007) Began project with the Miami Weather Forecast Office (WFO) • SPoRT has run a parallel version of Miami’s operational Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) prediction system forecasts since mid-February 2007 8 transitioning unique NASA data and research technologies to the NWS