Transcript Interstate Statistical Committee of the Commonwealth of Independent Sate (CIS Stat Commettee) Population Census Round 2010 in CIS countries: key results and prospects Irina Zbarskaya Population Censuses.

Interstate Statistical Committee of
the Commonwealth of Independent Sate
(CIS Stat Commettee)
Population Census
Round 2010 in CIS countries:
key results and prospects
Irina Zbarskaya
Population Censuses Workshop
UNECE, Geneve
4 October 2013
IMPORTANCE OF CENSUS FOR CIS COUNTRIES:
population number and its distribution within the country are specified for
particular moment of time;
 main (in some cases – the only) source of information on demographic,
ethno-linguistic and socio-economic characteristics of population;
 possibility to get data by smallest territorial units and by small population
groups;
 informational basis for demographic and socio-economic prognosis for
the countries and regions development;
 the general population for sample surveys is formed.
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POPULATION CENSUSES IN CIS COUNTRIES
ROUND 2000
1995
TURKMENISTAN
1999
AZERBAIJAN
BELARUS
KAZAKHSTAN
KYRGYZSTAN
2000
TAJIKISTAN
2001
ROUND 2010
2009
AZERBAIJAN
BELARUS
KAZAKHSTAN
KYRGYZSTAN
2010
ARMENIA
UKRAINE
RUSSIA
TAJIKISTAN
2011
ARMENIA
2002
RUSSIA
2012
TURKMENISTAN
2004
MOLDOVA
2014
MOLDOVA
2015
UKRAINE
1989:
USSR
UZBEKISTAN
UZBEKISTAN
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ROUND 2010 IN CIS
2010 Population Census completed
2010 Population Census is on preparation stage
Round 2000 and Round 2010 were skipped
LEGISLATION ON POPULATION CENSUS
Armenia
Belarus
Kyrgyzstan
LAW ON
CENSUS
Moldova
Russian Federation
Tajikistan
Ukraine
LAW ON
STATISTICS
Azerbaijan
Kazakhstan
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LEGAL FRAMEWORK
LAWS ON CENSUS / LAWS ON STATISTICS
The periodicity of the census;
The list of the collecting data;
The obligations of the population to provide information for the census;
The interaction between the agency responsible for the census, and other
state and regional agencies involved in the census preparation;
The privacy of data;
Funding of the census.
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ROUND 2010 CENSUS:
METHODS OF DATA COLLECTION
TRADITIONAL
The interviews
implemented by specially hired
and trained interviewers
Using paper forms
Sampling method was not used
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DATA ENTRY
Manual entry
Scanning
ROUND 2000
ROUND 2010
Azerbaijan
Armenia
Belarus
Kyrgyzstan
Moldova
Tajikistan
Azerbaijan
Armenia
Kyrgyzstan
Kazakhstan
Russia
Ukraine
Belarus
Kazakhstan
Russia
Tajikistan
Ukraine
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DATA CODING
Manually only
Computer only
Combined
ROUND 2000
ROUND 2010
Armenia
Belarus
Kyrgyzstan
Moldova
Tajikistan
Kazakhstan
Russia
Ukraine
Armenia
Kyrgyzstan
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan
Belarus
Russia
Kazakhstan
Tajikistan
Ukraine
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OUTSOURCED WORKS
RELATED TO THE CENSUS
Software development
Belarus
Kazakhstan
Kyrgyzstan
Russia
Tajikistan
Ukraine
Processing of the census data
Tajikistan
Informational and advocacy campaigns
Kazakhstan
Russia
Ukraine
Printing of forms and tools
Belarus
Kazakhstan
Kyrgyzstan
Russia
Tajikistan
Personnel hiring and training
Tajikistan
Training programmes development
Russia
Preparation of publications
Tajikistan
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THE CENSUS COSTS
The weighted average cost
per one person in CIS countries
ROUND 2000
ROUND 2010
USD 1,1
USD 3,4
(converted at the exchange rate)
(converted at the exchange rate)
USD 4,5
USD 5,3
(purchasing power parity
based on the IMF)
(purchasing power parity
based on the IMF)
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Difficulties in preparing and conducting the census
The population attitude and
the complexity of the interview
Personnel hiring and training
Funding
The processing of the census
data and getting tables
Azerbaijan
Belarus
Kazakhstan
Russia
Tajikistan
Azerbaijan
Belarus
Kazakhstan
Russia
Tajikistan
Armenia
Tajikistan
Ukraine
Kazakhstan
Kyrgyzstan
Tajikistan
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THE POPULATION CENSUS CHALLENGES
FINANCIAL
POPULATION
CENSUS
SOCIAL
INFORMATIONAL
INNOVATIONAL AND
TECHNOLOGICAL
THE CENSUS ROUND 2010
Using data from
administrative sources
Traditional method
with using interviewers,
as main method of
data collection
Replacing paper forms to
electronic questionnaires
will be kept
Using Internet
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PREPARATION TO THE ROUND 2020:
Workshops for experts of CIS national statistics services
JUNE 2014
MAIN TOPICS:
 The Round 2010 lessons learned and prospective for the Round 2020
(methodological and technological innovations, complete census, sample surveys,
administrative data, the problems and difficulties);
 Suggestions of the CIS countries for inclusion in the CES Recommendations on
the Population and Housing Censuses Round 2020;
 The measurement of the economically active population in the census and
sample surveys (with the advice of the 19th International Conference of Labour
Statisticians);
 Possible ways of coordination of the CIS national statistical services in
preparation of the Census Round 2020 in the Commonwealth.
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PREPARATION TO THE ROUND 2020:
Workshops for experts of CIS national statistics services
APRIL 2015
MAIN TOPICS :
 Suggestions on organizational and methodological principles for population
censuses conduction in CIS;
 Measurement of labor migration in population censuses and sample surveys;
 Interstate programmes on exchange of national census results;
 The draft schedule for meetings of experts of the CIS national statistical services
on preparation to the Population Censuses Round 2020.
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CONCLUSIONS
The census will retain its dominant position as the main source of
information about the population;
There are serious challenges: financial issues, changing the population
mentality, the need to reduce the respondents burden, the growing
information needs and information technology development;
Countries are moving away from the traditional model of the "pure"
census, focusing on getting information from different sources;
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Thanks for your attention
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