Transcript Population and Housing Census 2011 Program Central Bureau of Statistics, Nepal Historical Background of Population Censuses in Nepal • The first population count: 1911

Population and Housing Census 2011
Program
Central Bureau of Statistics, Nepal
Historical Background of Population Censuses in
Nepal
• The first population count: 1911 AD.
• Other censuses: 1920, 1930, 1941, 1952/54.
• First synchronized census using standard
census concepts: 1961
• Censuses taken every ten years: since 1961.
• Last census to date: 2001
One Century Of Population Census In Nepal,
1911-2011
Census year
1911
Population
5,638,749
Growth rate (%) Density (km²)
…
38
1920
1930
1941
5,573,788
5,532,574
6,283,649
-0.13
-0.74
1.16
38
38
43
1952/54
1961
1971
1981
8,256,625
9,412,996
11,555,983
15,022,839
2.27
1.64
2.05
2.62
56
64
79
102
1991
2001
2011 (P)
18,491,097
23,151,423
28,584,975
2.08
2.25
2.13
126
157
194
Population Census 2011
• Marks 100 years of census taking in Nepal.
• Is the eleventh in the series of population
enumeration in Nepal.
• Marks the seventh scientific census in the
modern sense of the term.
• The first Population Census of the “New
Nepal”
Methodology, Concepts, Definition
• Usual Place of Residence (Modified Du-jure)
• Concepts of household, HH head, household work
and extended economic activity.
• Standard classification of occupation and industry.
• Elaborated groupings of caste/ethnicity and mother
tongue.
• Adequate examples and illustrations in the manuals.
Census Questionnaires in Census 2011
• Two types of questionnaires:
– Short form (for complete count) and
– Long form (for sample count).
• Each of these questionnaires contains questions on
HOUSEHOLD as well as INDIVIDUAL.
• Questionnaire will be based on 2001 Census and
feedbacks received from users and stakeholders.
• Sample: HOUSING unit as primary sampling unit.
• All households and persons in the selected housing
units were enumerated.
Questionnaires and Contents for Census 2011
(COMPLETE COUNT) FORM 1:
A. HOUSEHOLD INFORMATION
• Type of House, Roof & ownership.
• Agriculture land holding.
• Livestock/poultry raised for agriculture purpose.
• Female ownership on house and land
• Presence of disable person
• Small scale economic activities other than agriculture.
• Absentees from HH, reasons & country of destination.
B. INDIVIDUAL INFORMATION
• Name, sex, age, relationship to the HH head.
• caste/ethnicity, religion.
• language spoken, citizenship, type of disability.
Questionnaires and Contents …. (contd.)
(SAMPLE COUNT) FORM 2:
A. HOUSEHOLD INFORMATION
• Source of drinking water, type of cooking/ lighting
fuel.
• Toilet & HH facilities (computer, Mobile etc).
• Main source of income
• Maternal Deaths in the HH.
B. INDIVIDUAL INFORMATION
• Place of birth, Migration and causes (conflict)
• Educational attainment.
• Marital status, Children born.
• Economic/Non-economic activities,
occupation/Industry, employment status.
• Living arrangement of children below 16 yrs of
age.
Training for Population Census 2011
• Training for 35,000 enumerators, 8,750 supervisors,
350 Area Supervisors, 90 DCOs
• Different Tiers of Training
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Training of Trainers (10 days)
Training for DCOs (25), Area Supervisors (15 days)
Training for Field Supervisors (10 days)
Training for Enumerators (10 days)
Separate Training for Pilot Census and PES
• Use of 6 Training Manuals
• Use of Separate Gender and Social Inclusion Manual
• Use of GESI Experts
Census Mapping (Cartography)
• Updated EA Maps will be produced for
– All municipalities including those of Kathmandu Valley
– All District Headquarters
– Urban-headed or densely populated VDCs
• Completed Cartographic Field work of 12
municipalities &Running Cartographic Field Work of
4 Municipalities
• Digitizing maps is going on.
Major Challenges
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Lack of Human Resources
Lack of Adequate Fund
Lack of Logistic Support
Uncomfortable mode of program execution
Census Publicity
• Census Publicity Strategy Paper
• Effective publicity campaign against the prevailing
social, cultural and economic background.
• Multimedia effort: Radio, Television, SMS, Web,
Newspapers, Posters, Pamphlets, and Bulletins,
Postal Stamps, Public places campaigning,
Alternative media (Gaine), Folk Songs
• Message from the Head of the Government
• Observe “Census Day” as a national holiday.
Census Materials: Packaging and Dispatch
• Packaging begins from July 2010
• Dispatch:
– Private transport companies, Courier services and
– CBS staff.
• Airlifting for remote mountain districts.
• More than 7 million pages of short form and 5 million
pages of long form.
• More than 125 tones of census materials was
transported during 2001
Data Processing
• Feasibility of modern data capturing techniques
• Coding/Editing (District level Vs. Central)
• Data entry, coding and editing: contract out to private
agencies.
• Estimated time for data entry: 4-6 months.
• About 400 micro-computers, 400 coder and data
entry operators
• Verification and tabulation at the CBS.
Data Dissemination
• Preliminary results (within 2 months): based on quick
count
• Data dissemination strategy: Hardcopy and Online
simultaneously
• Hard copies, CDs/DVDs, District Census Info and
website (Interactive Web Portal).
• Sample data on public domain
• Dissemination Workshops, seminars and Training
Post Enumeration Survey (PES)
• Post enumeration surveys conducted since 1981.
• Considered limited in scope.
• Not analyzed to the full extent.
• The PES conducted after 2001 census shows under
coverage of 4.5 percent.
Strategies for Population Census 2011 (contd.)
POPULATION CENSUS 2001
• Census Enumerators and Supervisors
– Preference to Local People with understanding of
local language
– Local school teachers
– University graduates (Statistics/Demography)
– Women Development Officers
Government Staff including FCHW
and
other
– Fresh recruitment.
• Improved and Extensive Training/Manuals
– 7-10 days of enumerators’ training
CENTRAL BUREAU OF STATISTICS, NEPAL
POPULATION CENSUS 2001
Strategies for Census Field Operation
• Use of Enumeration Area (EA) Maps
– EA digital maps of
• 58 municipalities including Kathmandu Valley,
• District Headquarters and Urban characterized
VDCs
• Capture geographical coordinates of all clusters and
each dwelling using GPS
• Data Dissemination through Web-Mapping,
Interactive Maps, Atlas
CENTRAL BUREAU OF STATISTICS, NEPAL
Population Census 2011- Opportunities
• Producing a series of socio-economic and demographic
data that will be
– A benchmark data for the “New Nepal”
– Capable of measuring the impact of development activities since
2001
• Capacity building (HRD, logistic support) of CBS
• Adoption of new technologies – OMR/ ICR, GPS, GIS,
Interactive web portal
• Producing digitized EA maps which can be utilized in other
statistical surveys and censuses
• Producing frames for Agriculture Census 2011 and other
surveys
Challenges Ahead
• Hunting for huge resources (financial, human,
logistic, infrastructure)
– US $ 24 Million
– Donors contribution: US$ 14.5 Million (Abt. 60% of the
total cost)
– GoN contribution: US$ 9.5 Million (40% of the total cost)
• Limited time left (less than two years)
– Establishment of District Census Offices in Jan 2011 (18
months)
– Packaging of the census materials in July 2010 (12 months
left)
– Printing of the census forms/manuals in May 2010 (10
months left)
– Production of EA maps in July 2010 (12 months left)
– Conduction of Pilot Census in January 2010 (6 mths. left)
Challenges Ahead
Contd….
• HRD for the adoption of new technologies
– OMR/ ICR, GPS, Cartography, Data Analysis and
management, timely data dissemination, Interactive web
portal
• Quality Control
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Recruitment of Census staff
Training
Field work (Data Collection)
Data processing (Particularly in coding/editing,
Outsourcing, In sourcing)
– Data security
• Ever-increasing data-demand of stakeholders,
international agencies and data users (lengthy
questionnaires)
• Data dissemination – Compatibility with the Federal
System
Way Forward
• Donors’ commitment
• Human Resource Development
• Executing Census Program with “Sense of
Urgency”
• Fully stick to “Census Calendar of Activities”
• Decision on adoption of new technologies –
OMR/ ICR, GPS
• Planning for PES
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THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION