Technologies for adaptation to climate change under the UNFCCC process Iulian Florin Vladu Technology Sub-programme Sustainable Development Programme UNFCCC June 2005 Tobago, Trinidad and Tobago.
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Technologies for adaptation to climate change under the UNFCCC process Iulian Florin Vladu Technology Sub-programme Sustainable Development Programme UNFCCC June 2005 Tobago, Trinidad and Tobago 1 OUTLINE Technologies for adaptation under the technology agenda item Some reflections based on the work done (technical papers, scoping paper, regional workshop) What are technologies for adaptation to climate change? What technologies are reasonable for climate change? Analysis of needs and setting priorities Integration with sustainable development Examples of technologies by sectors Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 2 TECHNOLOGIES FOR ADAPTATION UNDER THE TECHNOLOGY AGENDA ITEM Article 4.5 of the Convention: The developed country Parties and other developed Parties included in Annex II shall take all practicable steps to promote, facilitate and finance, as appropriate, the transfer of, or access to, environmentally sound technologies and knowhow to other Parties, particularly developing country Parties, to enable them to implement the provisions of the Convention Environmentally sound technologies (ESTs) under Article 4.5 of the Convention, includes both technologies conducive to mitigation of and adapting to climate change Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 3 TECHNOLOGIES FOR ADAPTATION UNDER THE TECHNOLOGY AGENDA ITEM Examples of requests from COP and SBSTA: Prepare an inventory and assessment of environmentally sound and economically viable technologies and know-how conducive to mitigating and adapting to climate change Prepare progress reports on activities of Annex I Parties relating to the introduction of adaptation technologies Compile a catalogue of adaptation technologies and knowhow Survey technology needs Provide support to Parties to assess their technology needs Synthesize and disseminate information on adaptation technologies Prepare technical papers and organize this seminar EGTT included also activities on technologies for adaptation in its work programme for 2004 and 2005 Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 4 TECHNOLOGIES FOR ADAPTATION UNDER THE TECHNOLOGY AGENDA ITEM Prepared a number of reports and technical papers which are directly or partially relevant to adaptation: Initial report on technology inventory and assessment Technical paper on Adaptation to climate change: options and technologies Technology and technology information needs arising from the survey of developing country Parties Technical paper on Coastal adaptation technologies Technical paper on Enabling environments for technology transfer Compilation and synthesis of Annex II National Communications, with specific reference to adaptation technologies EGTT scoping paper on Basic concepts of adaptation relevant technologies Background paper on Technology to understand and manage climate risks (prepared for this seminar) Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 5 TECHNOLOGIES FOR ADAPTATION UNDER THE TECHNOLOGY AGENDA ITEM Access to information - the secretariat has established a technology information clearing house (TT:CLEAR) which includes following elements relating to adaptation: Inventory of existing adaptation centres. Experts and organizations Cooperation projects on technology for adaptation (mainly from national communications of both Annex I and non-Annex I Parties, technology needs assessments and NAPAs) Case studies Access to information - a pilot network of technology information centres was established. The pilot network will be extended this year to include three centres from developing country Parties, one for each geographical region Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 6 TECHNOLOGIES FOR ADAPTATION UNDER THE TECHNOLOGY AGENDA ITEM Provided support to non-Annex I Parties to conduct technology needs assessments (TNAs) Some 80 TNAs conducted with support from UNDP Some 15 TNAs conducted with support from UNEP UNDP prepared a guidebook on Conducting technology needs assessments for climate change Started to work on summarizing the results of the TNAs completed so far Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 7 WHAT ARE ADAPTATION TECHNOLOGIES? Many technologies have been used to adapt to contemporary climate variability and extremes. Examples of existing a technologies for adaptation include air conditioning, flood-defence systems and irrigation, but also monitoring, forecasting and earlywarning systems for natural hazards These technologies can also be used to adapt to climate change, although they may need to be improved and new technologies may need to be developed because climate change is likely to impose new and higher standards of reliability and performance Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 8 WHAT ARE ADAPTATION TECHNOLOGIES? Attempting a definition of technologies for adaptation to climate change poses significant challenges: Adaptation is a very broad term alluding to many diverse sectors and systems, including human and natural systems and their interrelationships, on which climate change impacts are dependent on other considerations such as vulnerability, sensitivity, resilience etc. In contrast, for mitigation, greenhouse gases are emitted largely as a result of the application of technology itself, so possible solutions already have a teological baseline A definition of technology for adaptation that can adequately capture the multitude of situations to which it can, or ought, to apply would be difficult. Such a definition would need to incorporate the concepts of “adaptation” and “technology” Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 9 WHAT ARE ADAPTATION TECHNOLOGIES? In the climate change context, adaptation has been defined as the “adjustment in natural or human systems in response to actual or expected climatic stimuli or their effects, that moderates harm or exploits beneficial opportunities” Technology has been defined as “a piece of equipment, technique, practical knowledge or skills for performing a particular activity” Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 10 WHAT ARE ADAPTATION TECHNOLOGIES? An operational definition of technology for adaptation could therefore be: “Any application of equipment, techniques, practical knowledge or skills that would allow natural or human systems to adjust to actual or expected climatic stimuli or their effects, by moderating harm or exploiting beneficial opportunities” or in simpler language “The application of technology in order to reduce the vulnerability, or enhance the resilience, of a natural or human system to the impacts of climate change”. Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 11 WHAT ARE ADAPTATION TECHNOLOGIES? This definition would also incorporate the use, development or adoption of innovative approaches to achieve the same end, such as the management of natural and human systems, or components thereof It also implies human intervention in the adaptation process, contrasted to autonomous adaptation Most adaptations will be done in reaction to climate change (e.g., farmer switches crops - “autonomous” adaptation). We are focusing on “anticipatory” or “purposeful” adaptation deliberately done to anticipate effects of climate change (may also be to address current needs) See also next presentation.. Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 12 WHAT ARE ADAPTATION TECHNOLOGIES? Technological approaches to anticipatory and planned adaptation may include both “soft” technology and “hard” technology Hard technology —also called capital goods, hardware or embodied technology— refers to tools, machinery, equipment and entire production systems (what we traditionally think of as technologies, e.g., equipment, structures) Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 13 WHAT ARE ADAPTATION TECHNOLOGIES? Soft technologies —also called software or disembodied technology— concerns the knowledge of methods and techniques for the production of goods and services, or for choosing optimal courses of action Soft technologies enable hard technologies to be applied Analogous to “adaptive capacity” Includes such elements as education, training Can also include approaches to overcome barriers to adoption of technologies (e.g., market, economic, institutional, cultural)? Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 14 WHAT TECHNOLOGIES ARE REASONABLE FOR ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE? The development and deployment of either type of technology requires the right economic, legal and institutional contexts. Therefore, an effective adaptation strategy will comprise a mix of various adaptation approaches Do we invest now in technologies to anticipate climate change? Does it make sense to deploy them now? Benefits are too far in future to justify large investment solely for climate change.. Too many uncertainties about local climate change. However, R&D may make sense.. Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 15 WHAT TECHNOLOGIES ARE REASONABLE FOR ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE? What technologies for adaptation do we invest in? Basically, ones that are needed for today’s needs and are further justified by consideration of climate change.. Means that technologies do not address climate change alone? Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 16 WHAT TECHNOLOGIES ARE REASONABLE FOR ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE? Timing Should consider these technologies when adaptations will be needed? Because of barriers or length of investments, some adaptations could take many years to implement. Therefore it may make sense to address barriers for long-term adaptations now so implementation is shortened Agriculture vs. water Many agriculture investments take 5 to 30 years Water investments such as supply can take 50 to 100 years Different timing of investments may be justified Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 17 WHAT TECHNOLOGIES ARE REASONABLE FOR ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE? Technologies which help reduce the impacts of climate change can themselves cause other problems Coastal zone adaptation technologies are a good example. Many of the technologies incorporated within, or needed to implement, managed retreat from, accommodation of, or protection against, rising sea levels can have adverse social, economic or environmental consequences, often even when diligently executed (e.g., most hard structures such as sea walls have deleterious effects upon local ecosystems, including, in the case of many small islands, for example, fisheries and coral reefs) Few, if any, coastal adaptation technologies have no negative side-effects. Under certain circumstances these unintended side-effects can outweigh the benefits of a particular coastal adaptation technology Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 18 WHAT TECHNOLOGIES ARE REASONABLE FOR ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE CHANGE? Analyze vulnerability and adaptation needs Need to understand vulnerability to current climate and climate change Need to address climate change adaptation needs Challenges of assessing vulnerability Difficulty in comparing across sectors because of differences in impacts: human life, income, well being, ecological impacts (adaptation does not have equivalent of $/TC) Uncertainties about climate change Time frame UNDP Adaptation Policy Framework (scope project; assess current vulnerability; characterize future, climate-related risks; develop adaptation strategy; continue adaptation process) Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 19 ANALYSIS OF NEEDS AND SETTING PRIORITIES Vulnerability assessment is a natural prelude to technology assessment in the context of adaptation. An assessment primarily involves an analysis of the vulnerability of sectors and systems and the approaches (technologies) that can be applied to reduce the identified vulnerability or enhance resilience The actual on-the-ground implementation of any technology would have to be a decision based on the TNA process, involving inter alia, technology assessments, stakeholder consultations, analysis and removal of implementation barriers, enabling environments, implementation plans, etc. Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 20 ANALYSIS OF NEEDS AND SETTING PRIORITIES A complete assessment of adaptation options would include an analysis of adaptive capacity, cost-benefit analyses, effectiveness, and efficiency etc. that may or may not fall within the purview of “technology” per se Technology itself can have adverse impacts of its own and technology as applied to adaptation may also need to be assessed for these adverse impacts, either on natural or human systems (see above example on coastal zone technologies) Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 21 ANALYSIS OF NEEDS AND SETTING PRIORITIES Identify broad adaptation needs first. What is really needed? Set priorities Policy reforms may be most important Do not assume technology is the answer; use it as needed Recognize that many adaptations are on an ad hoc basis. Do not ignore these opportunities Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 22 ANALYSIS OF NEEDS AND SETTING PRIORITIES It is important to rank technologies in terms of priorities. No right or wrong way to do it: be consistent and transparent TNA process suggests priority setting involve stakeholders and be comprehensive Can consider criteria such as most cost-effectively reducing current risks or addressing urgent climate change needs (e.g., where vulnerability or costs of response could increase if not addressed) The TNA process is country driven and include national priorities. Nevertheless, common grounds can be defined that might be useful to other countries in dealing with adaptation issues Information generated by other processes such as National Communications, NAPAs, UNDP APF etc. should also be taken into consideration Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 23 ANALYSIS OF NEEDS AND SETTING PRIORITIES TNA example - Mauritius Coastal Zones Coastal Zones (technologies in use) Coastal Zones (projects) Retreat Hard engineering River Management Project Replacement Casements (alternative casements such as coastal access roads may need to be rearranged far in advance of their erosion / submergence) Sea walls Setback Building Distance (a buffer zone between the shoreline and permanent structures, which protect properties in the event of sea level rise and more frequent flooding. It should not be uniform and will depend on coastal type. Groynes Marine Parks 4 Accommodate Inland flood defences (essentially the creation of a new coastal strip to reduce vulnerability to more frequent flooding) Flood warning systems (systems to provide real-time forecasts of high tides, surges and wave overtopping) Islets Gabions Monitoring Breakwaters Mangrove Re-plantation Soft Engineering Better management of rain / waste water (various technologies related to drainage and sewer schemeswill need to be introduced to improve management of rain and wastewater. This will reduce potential geo-technical erosion and recession problems) Integrated Resort Scheme Beach nourishment, Awareness Programme Building with nature techniques Protect 2 Building with 'nature' techniques (building with nature techniques includes the creation, maintenance or restoration of wetlands, marshlands and dune systems) 3 Stimulate growth of coral reefs naturally or artificially (it involves the creation of appropriate media for corals to grow upon) Artificial reefs Integrated Coastal Zone Management Hand-placed rock sea walls (hand placed rocks to form sea walls are a common line of protection used. Placed correctly and maintained, they have been demonstrated to be an effective technology) Gabions (They are low-cost wire or plastic baskets filled with local materials. The baskets are placed together as building blocks to form structures that act as a last line of defence against high waves associated with storms) Groynes (They are structures placed perpendicularly to the shore to trap sediments often in direct response to an acute erosion problem) Revertments (It is a slope consisting of loose or inter-locking nature, which provides protection to banks or cliffs made up of erodable material) Bulkheads and seawalls (They are retaining walls made of concrete or interlocking rocks, whose primary purpose is to hold or prevent sliding of terrain while providing protection from light to moderate wave action) Breakwaters (they are double-sided structures with water on both sides, used to dissipate wave and current energy. They are made with large amount of rocks and other special construction material) Storm surge barriers (They are sophisticated coastal defence structures that can protect tidal inlets, rivers and estuaries from occasional surge events) Flooding and storm drains (They are technologies to manage the run-off of rainwater and can prevent serious erosion during storms) 1 Beach nourishment Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 24 INTEGRATION WITH SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT Address current problems that can be made worse by climate change Consider future development paths Identify where these paths: » Exacerbates existing problems » Eases existing problems » Creates new problems Identify linkages with climate change Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 25 EXAMPLES – WATER RESOURCES Options can involve actions on both the demand and supply sides Supply side adaptations: increasing flood defences, building weirs and locks to manage water levels and modifying or extending infrastructure to collect and distribute water to consumers Demand-side adaptive techniques: water-efficient irrigation such as drip-irrigation technology, water conservation techniques, land use management technology Water conservation for potable use would be of high importance for countries projected to have a decrease in annual rainfall Protection of surface and ground water reserves can employ pollution prevention technology in sectors that give rise to water pollutants such as industry and agriculture Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 26 EXAMPLES – WATER RESOURCES Limited water supply Already a problem because of overuse, pollution Higher population, economic growth could exacerbate problem by increasing demand Climate change risks reducing supply: » Salt water intrusion from sea level rise » Reduced runoff/infiltration Identify technologies that address water supply needs e.g., Increase efficiency of use Reduce losses Increase supply Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 27 EXAMPLES - AGRICULTURE Examples of adaptation opportunities to climate-change impacts on agricultural systems Response strategy Adaptation options Use different crops or varieties to match changing water supply and temperature conditions Conduct research to develop new crop varieties Improve distribution networks Change land topography to reduce runoff, improve water uptake and reduce wind erosion Subdivide large fields Grass waterways Land leveling Waterway-leveled pans Bench terracing Tied ridges Deep plowing Roughen land surface Use windbreaks Introduce systems to improve water use and availability and control soil erosion Low-cost pumps and water supplies Dormant season irrigation Line canals or install pipes Use brackish water where possible Concentrate irrigation water during peak-growth period Level fields, recycle tailwater, irrigate alternate furrows Drip-irrigation systems Diversions Change farming practices to conserve soil moisture and nutrients, reduce runoff and control soil erosion Conventional bare fallow Stubble/straw mulching Minimum tillage Crop rotation Contour cropping to slope Avoid monocropping Chisel up soil clods Use lower planting densities Change timing of farm operations to better fit new climatic conditions Advance sowing dates to offset moisture stress during warm period Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 28 EXAMPLES - AGRICULTURE Chemical pollution from agriculture. Agricultural activity can affect water quality through run off from fertilizers, pesticides and soils into surface and groundwater. A logical approach would be to prevent/reduce the amount of chemicals used. Two such approaches can be: Integrated Pest Management (IPM): involves pest control methods including growing pest-resistant cultivars, crop rotation and tillage techniques. Efficient and proper application of pesticides can reduce chemical loads Integrated Plant Nutrition Systems (IPNS): involves the efficient use of nutrient supply to crops; helps to improve productive capacity of soils; timely and sufficient use of onand off-farm nutrient supply can reduce run-off to surface-, and leaching to, groundwater Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 29 EXAMPLES – HUMAN HEALTH Health impact Population level Individual level Heat stress - Air conditioning - Adjustment of building designs (insulation, blinds, ventilation) - Tree planting in urban areas - Protective clothing (hats, sunglasses, light fabrics) - Domestic cooling High-wind extremes - Strengthening of buildings and other structures - Early-warning systems - Disaster-preparedness programmes High-water extremes (see also sections 3.3 and 3.5) - Flood-defence systems - Increased mobility - Set-backs - Improved run-off facilities - Domestic protection Vector-borne diseases - Vector-control approaches (e.g., fumigation) - Primary health care, including vaccinations and medicines - Public health surveillance and control programmes - Environmental management - Mosquito nets and repellents - Wire gauze (door and window screens) Water/food-borne diseases - Improved water-supply systems - Water purification - Improved sanitation - Primary health care, including vaccinations and medicines - Public health surveillance and control programmes - Environmental management - Personal hygiene Plant aero-allergens - Allergy warning systems - Anti-allergens and other drugs Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 30 FINAL THOUGHTS Knowledge of adaptation technologies and practices is limited and the work of the EGTT on this topic just started. Nevertheless, a wide range of sector-specific ESTs that can function as adaptation technologies are available depending on the vulnerability of a particular sector A main challenge remains to identify these technologies, assess them, adapt them to local conditions and deploy them Need to begin with present-day needs and to consider development paths. What problems are made worse, eased or introduced and add in climate change as a consideration Technology can be an answer but is not always the answer Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 31 Thank you! Iulian Florin VLADU - Technology Subprogramme 32