Wisdom from the 1920s and the 1960s Student Institutional Human history becomes more and more a race between education and catastrophe.
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Wisdom from the 1920s and the 1960s Student Institutional Human history becomes more and more a race between education and catastrophe. ….H. G. Wells Success Success Education Schwartz Global is the slowest form of learning. ….Tony National Success The medium is the message. ….MarshallSuccess McLuhan ellucian IMS The cloud is the message. 2-Nov-15 Humanity’s Challenge to Education Scale Up and Sustain Social, Environmental, Economic, and Educational Justice Educational Attainment ≈ Educational Justice William H. Graves SVP, Academic Strategy, Ellucian Board of Governors, Antioch University Retired Professor, UNC-Chapel Hill www.institutionalperformance.typepad.com Title Slide Education vs.vs. Catastrophe Education Catastrophe Policy Perspectives Unit Costs Matter! Economic Governance Issues ELC Educational Justice Forces of Change IT-Enabled Strategies Education vs. Catastrophe Global / Local Puzzle Think globally, act locally, but … All things are interconnected! Catastrophe has the lead! Common Core Redesign Core Redesign Models Core Redesign Results Faculty Role Culture and Productivity Education is key! Return on IT Investment The Productivity Question EPS Profiles in Productivity Quotations ellucian Credentialing is a common good for all of its investors. Title Slide Education vs. Catastrophe Policy Perspectives PolicyPolicy Perspectives Perspectives Unit Costs Matter! Economic Governance Issues ELC Educational Justice Forces of Change IT-Enabled Strategies Common Core Redesign Core Redesign Models Core Redesign Results Faculty Role Culture and Productivity Return on IT Investment The Productivity Question EPS Profiles in Productivity Quotations ellucian The Attainment Challenge Scale up the proportion of adults with postsecondary credentials. Barriers to Scaling Up The education pipeline is leaky. Economic demographics imply that a growing percentage of low-income students will require needs-tested financial aid. The growing need for financial aid will make credentialing unaffordable to more students, governments, and educational institutions. There is no evidence that local successes will add up to global success! Title Slide Education vs. Catastrophe Unit Costs Matter! Policy Perspectives Unit Costs Unit Matter! Costs Matter! Economic Governance Issues ELC Educational Justice Forces of Change IT-Enabled Strategies Common Core Redesign SHEEO Fact: National average for inflation-adjusted perstudent FTE state subsidies is hovering near 30-year lows. NCHEMS Projection: By 2013, every state will suffer a structural revenue shortfall. 2013 arrived a few years ago! Delta Cost Project: Assuming current trends for per-student E&R expenses in constant dollars, the future is disturbing! Core Redesign Models Core Redesign Results Faculty Role Other Culture and Productivity Other Other Private Public Higher Higher Education Education Per-Student Per-StudentE&R E&RCosts Costs Return on IT Investment The Productivity Question EPS Tuition Tuition Tuition Tuition Profiles in Productivity Quotations ellucian Affordability will continue to suffer! Title Slide Education vs. Catastrophe Economic Governance Issues Policy Perspectives Unit Costs Matter! Economic EconomicGovernance GovernanceIssues Issues ELC Educational Justice Forces of Change IT-Enabled Strategies Common Core Redesign If credentialing at scale is a common good, then why do: Education providers find government funding to be inadequate, unreliable, and intrusive? Governments find higher education unaccountable and its “credit-hoursattempted” revenue model costly and wasteful? Needy students and families find higher education unaffordable, inflexible, inaccessible, and “slow?” Core Redesign Models Think like 2009 Economics Nobel Laureate Elinor Ostrom! Core Redesign Results Don’t leave the economic governance of a common good to governments or other powerful interests! Be guided by Ostrom-style open economic governance models that are so far avoiding a tragedy of the commons: Internet Society, World Wide Web Consortium, Wikipedia, ... Faculty Role Culture and Productivity Return on IT Investment The Productivity Question EPS Profiles in Productivity Quotations ellucian Possible solution: Create a global economic governance cooperative, the Education Leadership Commons, to rebalance economic rights and responsibilities among education providers and their external investors. Title Slide Education vs. Catastrophe Education Leadership Commons Policy Perspectives Unit Costs Matter! Economic Governance Issues ELC ELC Global nonprofit nongovernmental organization Educational Justice Forces of Change Education Integrators IT-Enabled Strategies Common Core Redesign Core Redesign Models Core Redesign Results Faculty Role Culture and Productivity Return on IT Investment Learning Evaluators Open economic governance processes Students Families Economic Beneficiaries Governance of the for the Credentialing Marketplace Governments Employers Donors Education Suppliers The Productivity Question EPS Profiles in Productivity Credentialing Providers Quotations ellucian Economic Lever = Needs-Tested, Earned Grants? Title Slide Education vs. Catastrophe Educational Justice Policy Perspectives Unit Costs Matter! Economic Governance Issues ELC Educational Justice Educational Justice All people are born equal – and born to learn! Educational justice: scale up the needs-tested right to earn a credential affordable to all invested parties. Forces of Change IT-Enabled Strategies Common Core Redesign Core Redesign Models Core Redesign Results Faculty Role Culture and Productivity Return on IT Investment The Productivity Question EPS Profiles in Productivity Quotations ellucian ELC: an economic compact with three-way leverage. From birth, estimate the value of needs-tested aid to a student, who will eventually earn that aid by participating in periodic, independent, age-appropriate core learning evaluations (OECD). Education providers accepting students’ earned aid must account in peer groupings for credentialing productivity goals. In return for funding needy students, governments would have rights to longitudinal data for research – data follow the student. Title Slide Education vs. Catastrophe Forces of Change Policy Perspectives Technology Acceleration Unit Costs Matter! Economic Governance Issues ELC IT-Enabled External Sourcing / Partnering Educational Justice Common Core Redesign Core Redesign Models Core Redesign Results Faculty Role Culture and Productivity We are the cloud! Out-sourcing Open-sourcing We are increasingly In-sourcing Off-shoring • first-generation Scale Up Educational Justice & Attainment • underprepared Work-flowing In-forming • financially needy Supply-chaining Mobile-ing Increase the proportion of credentialed adults. Increase annual credentialing rates. Return on IT Investment The Productivity Question Improve per-credential affordability to all parties. EPS Globalization = Innovation = Productivity Account independently for core learning. Profiles in Productivity Quotations ellucian Demo-graphics & Psycho-graphics Public Policy IT-Enabled Strategies Globalization ForcesForces of Change of Change Title Slide Education vs. Catastrophe IT-Enabled Strategies Policy Perspectives Unit Costs Matter! Economic Governance Issues ELC Educational Justice Forces of Change IT-Enabled Strategies IT-Enabled Strategies • Increase attainment proportions. • Increase credential completion rates. • Improve per-degree production costs. • Improve reporting and analytics. External Sourcing/Partnering Redesign Strategy Common Core Redesign Core Redesign Models Core Redesign Results Maximum Leverage from Technology Faculty Role Culture and Productivity Return on IT Investment The Productivity Question EPS Profiles in Productivity Quotations ellucian Flex Program Redesign Strategy Common Core Redesign Strategy Title Slide Education vs. Catastrophe Common Core Redesign Policy Perspectives Unit Costs Matter! Economic Governance Issues ELC Educational Justice Forces of Change IT-Enabled Strategies Common Core Redesign Common Core Redesign Core Redesign Models Core Redesign Results Faculty Role Culture and Productivity Return on IT Investment The Productivity Question EPS Profiles in Productivity Quotations ellucian National Center for Academic Transformation pioneered course redesign in the ‘90s. In order of enrollments, the top 20-30 courses account for enrollments totaling 40% at 4-year schools and 50% at 2-year schools. These high-enrollment courses consume 20% to 25% of annual operating costs (because direct instructional costs are around 50%). These courses are common (core) to all campuses. Common exams, including nationally normative learning evaluations, are possible across all course sections. Can these courses be redesigned using IT, both to measurably improve learning outcomes and to reduce per-enrollment costs? Title Slide Education vs. Catastrophe Common Core Redesign Models Policy Perspectives Unit Costs Matter! Economic Governance Issues Supplemental Online ELC Educational Justice Forces of Change U New Mexico (psychology) Rio Salado CC (basic math) U Colorado (astronomy) U So. Mississippi (world lit) IT-Enabled Strategies Common Core Redesign CoreCore Redesign Models Redesign Models Core Redesign Results Faculty Role Culture and Productivity Return on IT Investment The Productivity Question EPS Profiles in Productivity Quotations ellucian Replacement Buffet Penn State (statistics) Ohio State (statistics) Tallahassee CC (writing) Florida Gulf Coast U (arts) Emporium Linked Workshop Virginia Tech (linear algebra) Austin Peay State (math) U Alabama (pre-calculus) Ferris State Title Slide Education vs. Catastrophe Common Core Redesign Results Policy Perspectives Unit Costs Matter! Economic Governance Issues ELC Educational Justice Forces of Change IT-Enabled Strategies Common Core Redesign Core Redesign Models Actual: Pew Trust-funded pilot involved 30 institutions, each using IT and principles of active learning to redesign a large-enrollment course. All accounted for equal or improved learning results, and reported per-enrollment cost offsets averaging 40%. CoreCore Redesign Results Redesign Results Faculty Role Culture and Productivity Return on IT Investment The Productivity Question EPS Profiles in Productivity Quotations ellucian Potential: Do the math!!! A systemic effort to redesign the top 20-30 highest enrollment courses could offset 8%-10% of annual operating costs. Title Slide Education vs. Catastrophe Faculty Role Policy Perspectives Unit Costs Matter! Learning as an Expedition Economic Governance Issues ELC Educational Justice Instructor-Facilitated Active Leaning Forces of Change IT-Enabled Strategies Organize Learning Resources Design & Guide Active & Social Learning Guide Self Learning Syllabus flipped classrooms special projects course packs individualized help papers faculty expertise team projects labs The Productivity Question video lectures internships tests EPS leaningware field trips tutor others Profiles in Productivity OER MOOCs teach classes Common Core Redesign Core Redesign Models Core Redesign Results Faculty Role Faculty Role Culture and Productivity Return on IT Investment Quotations ellucian Faculty teams are responsible for program redesign Title Slide Education vs. Catastrophe Culture and Productivity Policy Perspectives Unit Costs Matter! Economic Governance Issues External Sourcing / Partnering Strategies ELC Educational Justice Culture of Performance Forces of Change IT-Enabled Strategies Common Core Redesign Credentialing Productivity Core Redesign Models • • • • Academic / admin process redesign Enrollment mgmt. outsourcing IR mgmt. outsourcing Grant mgmt. outsourcing Core Redesign Results Faculty Role Culture andand Productivity Culture Productivity Return on IT Investment The Productivity Question EPS Profiles in Productivity Quotations ellucian Information Productivity Culture of Evidence Evidence-Driven Executive Leadership • Assessment • Performance consulting • Performance reporting / analytics Individual Productivity Culture of “Satisficing” High-Performing Digital Utility Satisfaction vs. Costs • Applications • IT mgmt. & leadership Title Slide Education vs. Catastrophe Return on IT Investment Policy Perspectives Unit Costs Matter! ROI = Accountability + Accessibility Economic Governance Issues ELC Educational Justice Learning Accountability Program Accountability Forces of Change IT-Enabled Strategies Common Core Redesign Core Redesign Models Core Redesign Results Faculty Role Culture and Productivity AccountabilityCosts ScaleExpense Down Per-Credential Increase Credentialing Productivity Accessibility Scale UpAffordable Affordability of Student Success Return on IT Return onInvestment IT Investment The Productivity Question EPS Profiles in Productivity Quotations ellucian Scalable Accessibility Flexible Accessibility Title Slide Education vs. Catastrophe Policy Perspectives Unit Costs Matter! Economic Governance Issues ELC Educational Justice Is Yours a Culture of Productivity? A High Productivity Institution? Forces of Change IT-Enabled Strategies Common Core Redesign Core Redesign Models Core Redesign Results Systemic Credentialing Productivity? Faculty Role Culture and Productivity Random Acts of Productivity? Return on IT Investment The Productivity Question The Productivity Question EPS Profiles in Productivity Quotations ellucian Progress requires • order where there is change & • change where there is order. … Alfred North Whitehead Title Slide Education vs. Catastrophe Educational Positioning System Policy Perspectives Unit Costs Matter! Economic Governance Issues • IT and interoperability market! •Reduce GPS-like technology for credentialing frictions and costs to expand thedata credentianling • Trustand – security, • Interoperable credentialing marketplace (Nobel Laureates Ronald Coase Elinorauthenticity, Ostrom)metrics ELC Educational Justice students families donors Forces of Change IT-Enabled Strategies Education’s External Investors governments employers suppliers Common Core Redesign Core Redesign Models Core Redesign Results Faculty Role ELC ≈ EPS Culture and Productivity Return on IT Investment The Productivity Question EPS EPS Profiles in Productivity Quotations ellucian institutions evaluators professions Education Providers, Credentialers Education Leadership Commons Ostrom-like open cooperative Title Slide Education vs. Catastrophe Policy Perspectives Unit Costs Matter! Profiles in Productivity Tennessee Board of Regents Online Degree Program Economic Governance Issues ELC Educational Justice Forces of Change IT-Enabled Strategies Common Core Redesign Core Redesign Models Over thirty 2- and 4-year institutions partnered to increase the tertiary credential-holding proportion of the state’s workforce. Enabled working adults to complete previous work Increased college-going rate Developed universal AA curriculum and many credentialing programs – all in online flex format Current net new “profitable “enrollments of at least 16,000 Inter-institution credit- and revenue-sharing in place Externally sourced planning, development, and delivery support Unified single ERP and single LMS several years ago Core Redesign Results Faculty Role Culture and Productivity Antioch University Return on IT Investment The Productivity Question EPS Profiles in Productivity Profiles in Productivity Quotations ellucian Ph.D in Leadership and change Course-less program Quarterly “residencies” of a few days around the nation Online high-touch individualized mentoring continuously External mentors for quality assurance and applied learning Coursera/Antioch MOOC partnership Antioch credit for Duke and Penn Coursera MOOCs. All parties benefit academically and financially. Title Slide Education vs. Catastrophe Mixing and Matching Policy Perspectives Unit Costs Matter! Economic Governance Issues ELC Educational Justice Forces of Change IT-Enabled Strategies Common Core Redesign Core Redesign Models Core Redesign Results Faculty Role Culture and Productivity Return on IT Investment The Productivity Question EPS Profiles in Productivity Quotations ellucian Flex Program Strategy Course Redesign Strategy Redesign programs/services for flexibility. Redesign large courses for improved learning and costs. – Maximize “high tech,” both academic & administrative. • More self-service – time shifted (asynchronous) learning & other services • Less contact-hour instruction & other scheduled services – Individualize “high touch” expert help to retain and graduate students. – Increase classroom & office capacity of the existing plant. – Reduce dependency on the classroom & semester models. – Focus on the course, not its course sections. – Emphasize active learning & mastery feed-back testing. – Use common tests. – Document learning differences via assessment. – Realign faculty tasks without increasing faculty labor to: • Offload some functions to software & assistants. • Optimize faculty expertise & interventions with students. • Increase student/instructor ratio • Reduce per-student costs.