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Class 3, Chap 4 Securities Firms & Investment Banks Introduction Basic definitions Industry concentration & trends Types of firms and business lines Conflicts of interest Balance sheet trends Regulation Investment Banking: Raising capital through debt and equity issues which involves: origination, underwriting and placement of securities in money and capital markets for corporate and government issuers Securities Firms: Involves assisting clients in the trading of securities. Brokerage services – take and execute client orders Market making – take the offsetting side of a trade Investment Banks: Firms that specialize in originating, underwriting and distributing new security issues Also investment banks usually have some corporate finance services ▪ Mergers and acquisitions ▪ Advising on Restructuring Securities Firms: Firms that specialize in trading i.e. the purchase, sale, brokerage and market making services. Full-Line Firms: Large investment banks that provide both investment banking and securities services Size and Composition of the Industry The size of the industry is usually measured by the equity capital of firms rather than total asset size the largest firm in 1987 had $3.2 billion in total capital the largest firm in 2007 had $114.2 billion in total capital Why? Investment banks usually hold a piece of any new issue for a short period of time during the underwriting process. Therefore total asset values can vary widely as investment banks sell vested assets Number of Securities Firms and Investment Banks 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 9,515 4,000 3,000 6,016 5,248 4,800 2,000 1,000 0 1980 10/19/1987 What caused the large growth in the number of securities firms and Investment banks? 2006 2009 1980 – 1987: Growth in the industry Hint: on May 1, 1975 the SEC eliminated fixed brokerage commissions – brokers could set commission on trades Increased competition among dealers (Charles Schwab) Decreased the cost of trading Created a new sector of retail traders Increased the demand for stock Increased the number of IPOs Deficit spending in the 1980 grew the economy Number of Securities Firms and Investment Banks 10,000 9,000 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 9,515 4,000 3,000 6,016 5,248 4,800 2,000 1,000 0 1980 10/19/1987 What happened in 1987? 2006 2009 Black Monday – October 19, 1987 News clip The crash ▪ Started in Hong Kong and spread to Europe and finally hit the US – the Dow lost 508 points on the day Potential Causes: ▪ program trading, overvaluation, illiquidity, and market psychology. Aftermath of the crash Consolidation within and across industries left investment banking and brokerage services concentrated with a small group of small firms. Acquirer Citicorp JP Morgan Bank of America Bank of America Chase Bank of America Wachovia Wachovia UBS Credit Suiss First Boston Dean Witter Deutche Bank Region's Financial CME Group Goldman Sachs Target Travelers (Smith Barney and Salomon) bank one Fleet Boston Merrill Lynch JP Morgan MBNA Golden West Financial Southtrust Paine Webber Group Donaldson Lufkin Jenrette Morgan Stanley Bankers Trust AmSouth NYMEX Holdings Spear, Leeds & Kellogg Price (billions) 83.00 60.00 49.30 47.10 35.00 35.00 25.50 14.30 12.00 11.50 10.20 10.10 10.00 9.50 6.50 Year 1998 2004 2003 2008 2000 2005 2006 2004 2000 2000 1997 1998 2006 2008 2000 Number of Securities Firms and Investment Banks 10000 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 9515 4000 3000 6016 5248 4800 2000 1000 0 1980 10/19/1987 2006 2009 What caused the merger wave? Financial Services Modernization Act 1999 Removed barriers between investment banks, commercial banks, and insurance companies that prohibited any one company to act as a combination of the three The act made it legal for investment banks, commercial banks and insurance companies to consolidate under a bank holding company Number of Securities Firms and Investment Banks 10000 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 9515 4000 3000 6016 5248 4800 2000 1000 0 1980 10/19/1987 2006 Decline in the number of investment banks and securities firms is mainly because of the merger wave but many banks also failed around this time 2009 2008 represented a structural shift in the financial industries 2008: the largest 5 investment banks were gone by the end of the year Lehman Brothers – Bankrupt Bear Stearns – “Acquired” Why? Merrill Lynch – Acquired Goldman Sachs – Morgan Stanley – Requested and were granted commercial bank holding company status 2009: consolidations and bank failures left the number of investment banks and securities firms at 4800 Types of Firms and Business Activities National Full-Line Firms Other firms 1. Commercial Bank Holding Companies ▪ Largest of the full line firms ▪ Extensive domestic and international operations ▪ Offer underwriting brokerage and asset management advising service ▪ Examples: JP Morgan Chase – through many acquisitions Morgan Stanley Bank of America – through its acquisition of Merrill Lynch 2. National Full Line Firms – with corporate specialty ▪ Specialize more in corporate activities with customers who are highly active in securities trading ▪ Example: Goldman Sachs and Salomon Brothers / Smith Barney (Investment banking arm of Citigroup) 3. Large investment bank (Money Center Banks) ▪ Concentrated in major cities, limited branch networks ▪ Client-base is predominantly intuitional investors ▪ Examples: Lazard ltd; Greenhill & co. The remaining firms in the industry can be split up into 5 categories 1. Regional securities firms ▪ ▪ Often subdivided into small medium and large Concentrate on servicing firms in a particular region 2. Special discount brokers ▪ ▪ ▪ Execute trades for investors on-line or off-line Do not offer investment advice 3. Specialized electronic trading securities firms ▪ Provide a platform for customers to trade online without the use of a broker 4. Venture capital firms ▪ ▪ Pool money from individual investors and other FIs (Hedge Funds, Pension Funds and insurance companies) Use the money to finance new small businesses 5. Other firms ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ Research Boutiques off-exchange trading specialist Floor specialists Companies with large clearing operations Other firms that do not fit into other categories Floor specialist, acquired by Crown group Investment banks and securities firms engage in at least seven key activities 1. Investing: ▪ Object – chose some asset allocation to beat some performance benchmark such as the S&P 500 ▪ Managing pools of money such as: ▪ Closed/open ended mutual funds ▪ Pension funds ▪ The firm’s own account ▪ Investment advising generates fees based on the size of the pool making it a more stable source of income than Investment Banking 2. Investment Banking ▪ Refers to activities related to underwriting and distribution of corporate securities ▪ Underwriting: the process by which investment banks raise capital for themselves or their clients by issuing securities The term refers to the location of signatures on the contract – below the risk assessment ▪ New issues can be either ▪ Primary – IPO ▪ Secondary – secondary offering, new debt issues 9 Total Debt & Equity Underwriting (Trill) 8 7 6 5 4 7.84 7.51 3 6.45 4.95 2 1 Underwriting Concentration • The top 5 firms makeup 36% of the total activity 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 • The top 10 firms makeup 60% of the total activity Private Public Best-efforts Firm Commitment Government offerings The investment bank acts as a private placement agent for a fee They shop the securities around to one or more private parties to try to find one or multiple buyers These are usually large institutional investors such as pension funds or insurance companies Private placements are issued under rule 144a of the securities law – it is called a 144a issue Best-Efforts underwriting This is an agreement between the issuer and the underwriter (investment bank) The underwriter agrees to sell as much of the offering as possible at the agreed upon price to investors The investment bank is not responsible for any of the unsold offering but it can purchase the remaining shares/debt if it chooses to Example: Ford offers a $10 million bond issue the investment bank sells 9.5 mill of the issue. The remaining .5 mill remains unsold or is purchased by the underwriter Firm commitment underwriting An agreement between the issuer and underwriter The underwriter agrees to purchase the issue at the agreed upon price The underwriter then tries to sell the issue to public investors at a higher price The underwriter is responsible for the unsold portion Example: Ford offers a $10 million bond issue. The IB purchases the issue and sells 9.5 million of the issue. The investment bank is responsible for the remaining .5 million Investment banks acts as the primary dealer for: Government bonds Municipal bonds Asset backed securities An investment bank agrees to underwrite an issue of 20 mill shares of stock for CCL Inc. on a firm commitment basis. The IB purchases the offering from CCL for $15.50 per share. How much will CCL and the investment bank make if the shares sell for: a) $16.35 per share b) $14.75 per share An investment bank agrees to underwrite an issue of 20 mill shares of stock for CCL Inc. on a best efforts basis. The IB charges CCL for $0.375 per share issued. How much will CCL and the investment bank make if it can sell 18.4 mill of the issue for: a) $16.35 per share b) $14.75 per share Best Efforts: Less risky for the IB – gets paid a flat fee More risky for the issuer – uncertain about proceeds of issue Less costly for the issuer Less profitable for the investment bank (limited upside) Firm Commitment: More risky for the IB – profit depends on proceeds from sale (bears the risk of selling securities in the market) Less risky for issuer – paid upfront by the IB More costly for the issuer – IB will likely charge a higher fee Potentially more profit for the IB 3. Market Making ▪ Market making involves creating a secondary market in an asset (stock, bond). ▪ The firm agrees to be a dedicated buyer/seller of a security – they provide liquidity ▪ Example: ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ A securities firm may have a market maker on the NYSE for IBM The market maker sets buy and sell prices. They may agree to buy IBM at $78 per share and immediately sell for $79 per share The difference between the buy and sell price is called the bidask spread They also trade on their own accounts 4. Trading ▪ Position trading: ▪ Purchase a large block of securities in anticipation of a favorable price move ▪ Pure arbitrage: ▪ A strategy to exploit mispricing of an asset across different markets ▪ Buy the under priced asset and immediately sell it in the overpriced market – no risk! ▪ Risk Arbitrage: ▪ buying a block of securities in anticipation of an information release such as a merger or interest rate change ▪ Program trading: ▪ buying and selling a portfolio of at least 15 different stocks/bonds valued at more than $1 million using computer programmed transactions 5. Cash Management: ▪ Cash management accounts (CMA) allows customers to write checks against some type of mutual fund account – covered by FDIC insurance if issued by commercial banks or thrifts ▪ Makes it easier for brokers to buy/sell securities – the account is debited for purchases and credited for sales 6. Mergers & Acquisitions: ▪ Assist in finding merger partners ▪ Underwriting new securities ▪ Assessing the value of the target firm ▪ Recommend terms for the merger agreement ▪ Help target firms prevent a merger – poison pill 7. Back office and other service functions ▪ Custody and escrow services ▪ Clearance and settlement ▪ Research and advising ▪ Small business loans – new ▪ These are fee-based services Soft Dollars Soft Dollars Brokerage Service Commissions Soft Dollars Other costs: Research Marketing Administrative Soft dollars are the fraction of commissions dedicated to pay for these costs Investment Bank Soft Dollars Commissions Transaction fees Other costs: Research Marketing Administrative Conflict Banks are allowed to set commissions that include fees for services they purchase from themselves Soft dollars began to include all types of expenses computers, bribes to tipsters from other investment firms (WSJ: Insider Case Has Soft-Dollar Focus) Analyst Recommendations: Investment banks provide research but also compete for corporate finance business – underwriting. In the 2000’s corrective action was taken against several investment banks for biasing analysts recommendations to boost their underwriting business Washington Post - Aug 1, 2001 Analysts Sold Stock They Pushed, SEC Says; Profits Ranged Up to $3.5 Million, Agency Finds in Probe for Conflicts Balance sheet / Profitability The profitability in the securities industry is highly dependant on economic conditions especially the stock market Revenue: from two main business activities Investment banking Brokerage services Expenses: Mainly interest expense Commission income as a percent of total revenue What happened to commissions? What do you notice about commissions after 1990? Pre-1990: Fixed brokerage fees were eliminated in 1975 (investors would pay the same price for any size trade at any financial institution) Competition (mainly from Charles Schwab) drove the brokerage fees down Post-1990 Brokerage fees are no longer a large source of revenue for the securities industry Securities industry pre-tax profitability What caused the drop in profits If commissions are less important then why are profits growing? Why did profits fall? Where are the increased profits coming from? Really? Securities industry pre-tax profitability Underwriting activity 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Securities industry pre-tax profitability S&P 500 Index 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Securities industry pre-tax profitability Underwriting activity 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Securities industry pre-tax profitability Bailout Subprime crisis Pre-1990: profits suffered from lower commissions and a decrease in IPO activity 1990 – 2000: profits driven by increased underwriting (IPOs and debt) internet bubble fuelled demand for IPOs 2000-2002: slowing economy along with terrorist attacks caused profits to fall 2002 – 2006: increased underwriting and low interest rates increased profits in the securities industry 2006-2008: profits plummeted due to the subprime crisis 2009: tax payer bailouts increased profits to an all-time high Profits are highly dependant on economic conditions, IPO and M&A activity as well as investor confidence Regulation Securities and exchange commission (SEC) Administration of securities law Review and evaluation of new security offerings – through the registration process Review and evaluation of semiannual reports Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) Involved in day-to-day regulation and trading practices – monitor: ▪ Trading abuses – insider trading ▪ Trading rule violations ▪ Securities firms capital positions Congress: Can hold hearings and propose new regulation Securities exchange act of 1934 Sweeping regulation that regulated financial markets and their participants in the United States National Securities Market Improvement Act (1996) States were no longer allowed to require federally registered securities firms to register at the state level Gave the SEC exclusive regulatory jurisdiction over securities firms However, states could still bring suit in civil court Sarbanes-Oxley (SOX) (2001) In response to the accounting scandals (Enron Worldcom) SOX: ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ Created an independent auditing oversight board under the SEC Increased penalties for corporate wrongdoers Forced faster and more extensive financial disclosure Created avenues of recourse for share holders 2010 Financial Services and regulatory overhaul bill Created the financial services oversight council – identify systemic risk Gave new authority to the Federal Reserve to supervise firms that pose a systemic threat to financial stability Imposed stronger capital and other prudential standards Called for stronger regulation on securities markets and credit rating agencies Required issuers and originators to retain a financial interest in securitized loans Regulation of OTC derivatives New authority to the Federal Reserve to oversee payment, clearing, and settlement systems Gave special power to the government to resolve non-bank FIs whose failure could have serious systemic effects Revised federal reserve emergency lending to improve accountability The Patriot Act Firms must identify individuals seeking to open accounts Firms must keep records of the information used to identify individuals identity Must verify that the name of an individual opening an account does not appear on a list of known or suspected terrorists Securities Firms & Investment Banks Introduction Basic definitions Industry concentration & trends Types of firms and business lines Best efforts vs. firm commitment underwriting Conflicts of interest Balance sheet trends Regulation