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Tisa Catchment Area Development TICAD Centre for Strategic Economic Studies “Vojvodina CESS” – selected projects Valentina Ivanić International conference Tisza Hotel Szeged 24-25 March, 2011 www.southeast-europe.net/en/ Content About CESS: mission vision Activities: macreconomic research project management Selected projects: Promoting Coherent Cross-Border Development of the Tisza River Economy Study: “Competitiveness of the Economy of Vojvodina” Centre for Strategic Economic Studies “Vojvodina CESS” An empirical and social research institute using quantitative and formal methods for solving policy and business related tasks. Two sectors Macroeconomic research: -Empirical research in the field of socioeconomic development -Modeling of economic and regional development of the region -Forecasting instruments -Realization of sectoral and regional analysis -Evaluation of economic development in APV Project management: -Generating project proposals for organs of the regional government and for own purposes -Implementation of EU projects -Trainings for municipalities on generating project proposals -Evaluation and impact assessment of EU funds for economic and regional development Since 2007 CESS is one of the measures supported by the donation of ADA which resulted in cooperation with the Institute for Advanced Studies – IHS and the Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies – WIIW Macroeconomic research Number of delivered documents: 8 Number of delivered documents: 3 Number of delivered documents: 3 - Updated ex-post analysis of IRDP - Analysis of the SME sector in APV - Analysis of large industrial systems 2005-2006 Number of delivered documents: 5 - CESS Magazine - Development strategies for Senta, Zitiste, Nova Crnja, Sid, Temerin 2007 - Operative Programme for the Development strategy of Zitiste - Overview of EU programmes and funds for Serbia - Overview of the implementation of priority measures of the IRDP 2008 Number of delivered documents: 5 - Study: Competitiveness of the economy of Vojvodina - Economic forecast for 2010/11 - Guide for planning local development - Socio-economic profile of Vojvodina - Economic mirror 2009 -Strategy of regional development - Strategy of business incubators of Vojvodina -Strategy of export of Vojvodina -Stabilization and association process - Labor market in Vojvodina - Business barometer -Guide for municipalities in the process of joining the EU - Economic forecast 2010/11 2010 Project management Projects under implementation: Total number of projects: 6 Total budget of projects: 1 177 423 Total number of projects: 3 Total budget of projects: 965 179 EUR Total number of projects: 3 Total budget of projects: 2 639 000 Implemented projects: 1. MATRIOSCA – in kind partner (2005-2007) Total budget: 854 000 EUR Programme: INTERREG IIIB Implemented projects: 1. Promoting Coherent Cross-Border Development of the Tisza River Economy – project partner (2007-2008) Total Budget: 101 709 EUR Programme: CARDS 2. SMART Region – in kind partner (2005-2008) Total budget: 1 050 000 EUR Programme: INTERREG IIIB 2. Health Insurance Without Borders – external management (2007-2008) Total budget: 44 452 EUR Programme: CARDS 3. Strategic partnership in support of the IRDP – beneficiary (2007-2012) Total budget :735 000 EUR Bilateral donation 3. Higher Education Learning Partnership – project partner (20092011) Total budget: 819 018 EUR Programme: TEMPUS 2005-2007 2008-2009 1. Absorption Capacities of Vojvodina for EU Funds – beneficiary (2010-2011) Total budget: 6 500 EUR Donator: FOS 2. Food Production and Renewable Energy Sectors Clustering Potentials in the Cross-Border Area – project partner (2010-2011) Total Budget: 127 804 EUR Programme: IPA CBC 3. Through Training to Employment – project partner (2010-2012) Total Budget: 715 289 EUR Programme: IPA RSEDP II Projects under evaluation: 1. Improving Trade Cooperation in the Cross-Border Area – project partner (20112012) Programme: IPA CBC Total budget: 128 815 EUR Programme: IPA CBC 2. Joint Urban and Agglomeration Network – project partner (2011-2012) Total budget: 99 565 EUR Programme: IPA CBC 3. Coordinated Development and Knowledge Exchange on Spatial Planning Methodology – project partner (2011-2012) Total budget: 99 450 EUR Programme: IPA CBC 2010-2012 Activities in 2011 - Economic mirror (monthly) - CESS Magazine (5 issues) - Business barometer (quarterly) - Macroeconomic model (2 times per year) - Strategy of rural development (occasionally) - Strategy of industrial development of Vojvodina (occasionally) - Project: Absorption capacities of Vojvodina for EU funds - Project: Food Production and Renewable Energy Sectors Clustering Potentials in the Cross-Border Area - Project: Through Training to Employment Project Promoting Coherent Cross-Border Development of the Tisza River Economy Framework for the project - The project has been approved in the framework of the Second Call for Proposals of the Hungary – Serbia Neighbourhood Programme 2004 – 2006. - The Tisza catchment area is a specific European region with its northern part in Hungary and its southern part in Vojvodina. - The need for the project has been identified according to the priorities of: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Integrated Regional Development Plan of Vojvodina Spatial Plan of the Republic of Serbia DKMT Strategy Local development strategies of municipalities along the Tisza Strategy of Development of the Tisza River Region in Hungary (Vásárhelyiterv) 6. Strategy of Development of South Plain 2007 - 2013 Territory encompassed by the project The project was aimed at an integrated development of the Tisza catchment area, which incorporates four Counties in Hungary and ten municipalities in Vojvodina. Encompassed municipalities in Vojvodina: Kanjiža, Novi Kneževac, Čoka, Senta, Ada, Bečej, Novi Bečej, Žabalj, Zrenjanin, Titel Encompassed counties in Hungary: Bács-Kiskun, Csongrád, Hajdú-Bihar, Szobolcs-Szatmár-Bereg Main idea of the project Identifying priorities and possibilities for cross-border economic cooperation with the aim to enhance sustainable development of the Tisza region based on a Socio-economic Development Plan and an Action Plan for Tourism Development in the Tisza area. Main target groups 1. SMEs in the Tisza region; 2. Municipalities in the Tisza region; 3. Business associations; 4. Local non-profit organizations. Project Partners Partners in Serbia: Partners in Hungary: Applicant: Provincial Secretariat for Privatization, Business and SMEs Partner: Centre for Strategic Economic Studies “Vojvodina-CESS” In kind partner: Municipality of Kanjiža. Applicant: Tessedik Sámuel College SWOT analysis of the Tisza region Strengths - Developed regional cooperation - Multiculturalism and urban tradition - Good conditions for agricultural production - Rich water endowments Opportunities - Available funds for the development of SMEs - Development of a multifunctional production - Foreign investment into infrastructure, agriculture and tourism - Better cooperation of universities and business - Better cooperation between business and non-government organizations Weaknesses - Depopulation and ageing population - High unemployment - Frequent floods - Low entrepreneurial spirit - Old infrastructure - Absence of sustainable development strategies - Insufficient exploitation of tourism resources Threats - Slow economic development, unstable political situation and poverty - Lack of availability of Structural Funds - Lagging behind neighbouring regions in Hungary and Romania Recomendations for the development of the Tisza river region 1. Development of the road infrastructure 2. Improved water management 3. Protection of nature and the environment in settlements 4. Development of agriculture – production of healthy foods 5. Development of touristic activities and receptive tourism 6. Cross-border cooperation and development of the SME sector Areas of action for the sustainable development of tourism in the Tisza region 1. Regular monitoring of touristic heritage and environment 2. Defining touristic markets 3. Touristic content (accommodation, nautical tourism, hunting and fishing, manifestations, spas, rural tourism) 4. Local communities and citizens 5. Marketing approach and promotion Results of the project 1. Socio-Economic Development Plan of the Tisza Region (500 copies in Hungarian and Serbian languages) distributed to municipalities, NGOs, regional governments 2. Action Plan for the Development of Tourism in the Tisza Region (500 copies in Hungarian and Serbian Languages) distributed to municipalities, tourist organizations, NGOs 3. Bilingual project web site project activities. The web site was transferred for administration by the ICR in Kanjiza 4. Centre for River Based Business Development in Kanjiza. The Centre functioned as part of the ICR in Kanjiza, financed be the local government, which later became the Centre for Information and Development of the Tisza Region (ICR Tisza Region). Effects and sustainability of the project ICR Tisza Region: In harmony with the official development strategy of the municipality of Kanjiza and the overall development strategies of the region aims to help and facilitate the development of the municipality. Services of ICR Tisza Region: -Grant monitoring and information dispersal -Professional advisory services -Writing projects -Trainings, workshops and presentations -Translations (English, Serbian, Hungarian) -Other professional services (accountancy, writing business plans…) Effects and sustainability of the project ICR Tisza Region activities overview: - Encompasses 7 municipalities (Kanjiža, Novi Kneževac, Senta, Ada, Čoka, Bečej, Novi Bečej representing more than 160.000 citizens) - 5 full time employees and 14 external employees (2 from each municipality) - Financed by the Municipality of Kanjiza and from project activities - Over 607 partners from the region to whom it serves information about open calls for proposals, EU funds, public procurements, national development programmes - Organizing training for SMEs - Preparing and implementing IPA CBC projects - Organizing ECDL and EBCL training - Coordinating efforts of Kanjiza, Novi Knezevac and Coka regarding energy efficiency - Coordinating a tourism development project of Kanjiza, Novi Knezevac, Becej and Novi Becej Study: Competitiveness of Economy of Vojvodina Structure of the Study Investment Energy Foreign trade Economic entities Demography Survey on competitiveness factors Agriculture Legal framework of APV Findings and recommendations The competitiveness of Vojvodina was analyzed both in relation to the economy of Serbia as a whole and in relation to other countries and certain regions up to the extent possible in terms of available data. Objectives and target groups The objective of the Study was to determine cometitive advantages of Vojvodina, its unused or insufficiently used potentials and production resources, as well as to determine measures of economic policy which could influence an increase in competitiveness of the economy of Vojvodina. Target groups Policymakers on regional level Enterprises in Vojvodina Policymakers on local level Most of the observed data covers the period from 1990 up until 2008, before the economic crisis. Official statistical data presented the basis for the analysis. Foreign trade Commodity exchange of AP Vojvodina with foreign countries 8,000 6,599 6,000 3,563 4,000 Export 2,000 Import 948 430 Deficit 0 -518 -2,000 -3,036 -4,000 Import has been rising a lot faster than export after re-integration of the country into the international community. Foreign trade Specialization index of import and export of APV Izvoz Uvoz 0.15 .13113 0.1 .08511 .08165 .07599 .05912 .08247 0.05 .02933 .02533 .02385 .02301 2007 2008 0 1990 1998 2006 Smaller countries should have a lower level of import specialization and a higher level of export specialization. Foreign trade EU 70 60 50 The share of selected countries in foreign trade of APV in % CEFTA 61.2 54.953.1 55 46.8 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 45 44.1 42.8 39.9 38.7 40 30 20 10 41.7 29.3 30.2 28.5 0.8 0 Export 0 Export Import Import 1990 1990 6.1 7.7 7.7 6.6 1998 2006 2007 1998 2006 2007 2008 2008 OTHER COUNTRIES 70 55 60 50 49.8 52.3 49.5 54.7 38 40 30 20 11.6 15.8 16.7 16.5 10 0 Export 1990 Import 1998 2006 2007 2008 The EU is by far the most important market for conducting foreign trade exchange of Vojvodina Foreign trade Degree of openness of the economies of Serbia and Vojvodina (import + export) / GDP 80% 66.5% 70% 67.7% 69.3% 60.2% 60% 52.1% 50.9% 50% 67.2% 59.1% 58.6% 52.0% 50.9% 40% 30% 20% 10% 20.9% 0% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Srbija 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010* Vojvodina There is a noticeable increase in the openness of the economy after 2000 which represents a positive trend. Economic subjects Structure of enterprises in Vojvodina and Serbia according to size, 2007 100% 95% 95% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 4% 4% 0% Small Mala Medium Srednja Srbija 1% 1% Large Velika Vojvodina In the structure of enterprises according to their size, small companies dominate while there is a clear insufficiency of medium size enterprises. Agriculture Real potentials for accelerated development of agriculture in Vojvodina and strengthening of its competitive position are seen in the multifunctional development. Multi-functionality denotes total non-conventional agriculture (manufacture of healthy food – organic production) and conventional agriculture (agriculture carried out in a traditional manner and for traditional purposes – manufacture of food and inputs for manufacturing sector), and nonconventional purposes (biomass for energy generation). Different quantitative restrictions are more and more in use – in the form of technical barriers – implementation of ISO standards and HACCP methods for determining quality, quantitative and other restrictions as basic instruments of the agrarian protectionism measures. Agriculture Export of agricultural products from Vojvodina 2001-2005 in mil. USD 450 404 400 364 350 300 250 218 196 200 150 110 100 50 0 2001 2002 2003 original data 2004 2005 trend line linija trenda Average annual export in the period 2001-2005 reached 254.8 million USD, showing a positive trend, at an average rate of 36.8% per annum. Agriculture Comparative advantages of Vojvodina agro-industry must be fully utilized in the forthcoming period: -Favorable agro-ecological conditions for production of wheat, oilseed crops, fruit and vegetables -Available manufacturing sector capacities (edible oil plants, sugar plants, dairy plants, abattoir plants, industries for cereal grain, fruit and vegetable processing) -Skilled personnel in both production facilities and research institutions Export potentials of Vojvodina agriculture include: -Sugar and confectionary products -Edible sunflower oil -Wheat and corn, mercantile and seed -Soya and sunflower seed -Quality fruit, raw and processed -Quality vegetable, mostly raw -Beef cattle for slaughter, beef meet, lambs for slaughter, lamb meet -Beer, non-alcoholic beverages, mineral water, wine Factors of competitiveness The analysis was conducted by a survey method on 301 companies from the entire territory of Vojvodina. Business climate in Vojvodina in 2009, based on the attitudes of entrepreneurs Potpuno povoljna Entirely favourable 14.3% 14,3% Entirely Entirely unfavourable unfavourable 6% 06% Unfavourable 6.6% Nepovoljna 6,6% Partially nepovoljna Delimično unfavourable 20,6% 20.6% Favourable 24.9% Povoljna 24,9% Delimično povoljna Partially 27,6% favourable 27.6% Most of the entrepreneurs consider the business climate in Vojvodina to be favourable. Factors of competitiveness Competitiveness factors of APV, based on the attitudes of entrepreneurs (%) Good geographic position 92.400 Qualified labour force 89.400 Developed telecommunication infrastructure 86.700 Cheap labour market 86.00 Developed transport infrastructure 83.400 Subsidies for inflow of FDI 80.400 Network of free trade contracts 78.400 Security of ownership 76.800 Regulation of foreign exchange trade and capital… 76.400 Low level of corruption 74.800 Regulation of land property 73.800 Quality of judiciary system 73.800 Macroeconomic stability 73.700 Political stability 71.800 Quality of state administration 71.100 Stability of tax system 70.400 Low enterprise income tax 69.800 Size of domestic market 65.700 Low taxes and income contributions 65.500 0 20 40 60 80 100 Entrepreneurs believe that geographical position of Vojvodina is the main competitive advantage, since 92.4% of entrepreneurs agree with that thesis. Factors of competitiveness Competitiveness factors at the company level (%) Quality 61.500 Ability to adapt to the needs of clients 93.400 44.900 93.400 Reputation 41.200 Price (cost) advantage 41.500 Modern technologies Agree 73.00 18.900 Knowledge on foreign markets 64.100 28.200 Specialized expertise or products 62.100 19.600 Product diversity 61.700 12.600 0 20 Completely agree 65.700 23.900 Design 90.00 73.800 28.900 Marketing and promotional skills 93.700 40 60 80 100 The market of Vojvodina is at a low level of sophistication because quality is looked at as the main category that needs to be achieved and secured. Factors of competitiveness Competitiveness factors at a branch level (%) Ability to adapt to the needs of clients 40.9 Price (cost) advantage 41.9 Reputation 40.9 Quality 92.7 91.4 90.4 89.4 51.2 Marketing and promotional skills 78.4 26.6 Updated technologies Agree 76.4 29.2 Knowledge on foreign market 71.1 31.9 Design 66.4 27.6 Diversification of products 62.4 15.6 Specialized expertise or products 60.2 22.6 0 20 Completely agree 40 60 80 100 Even at the branch level, we can see that the important factors are the ones that are self evident in developed national economies. Thank you for the attention! Centre for Strategic Economic Studies “Vojvodina CESS” www.vojvodina-cess.org [email protected] March 25, 2011.