Transcript met.nps.edu
T-PARC/TCS-08 Quicklook 29 October 2008 Operations by the numbers… • 9 participating nations – Canada, China, England, France, Germany, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, United States • Over 500 aircraft mission flight hours – 216 C-130, 179 P-3, 83 Falcon, 37 DOTSTAR • 76 missions – 25 Falcon, 23 C-130, 21 P-3, 7 DOTSTAR • 7 airfields – Andersen AB, Guam; NAF Atsugi, Japan; Kadena AB, Japan; Taiwan, Yokota AB, Japan; MCAS Iwakuni, Japan; Misawa AB, Japan • 11 tropical circulation systems – 4 typhoons, 1 TD, 1 ex-TS, 5 others Tropical Circulation Systems by the numbers… • During August – September, there were 12 total systems > TD intensity over the western North Pacific – 4 typhoons, 4 tropical storms, 4 TDs • 51 TCS systems – With a few recycled a time or two • 11 systems in which aircraft missions were flown – 4 typhoons, 1 TD, 1 ex-TS, 5 others • 72% of all missions were flown on the 4 typhoon cases – 6 Nuri, 28 Sinlaku, 5 Hagiput, 15 Jangmi (54/75 = 72%) WC-130 Flights per Objective WC-130 Missions per Objective TC Structure/Sat val, 7, 30% TC Formation - Survey, 9, 40% Extratropical Transition, 4, 17% TC Formation , 2, 9% TC Structure, 1, 4% WC-130Time Timeper per Objective WC-130 Objective TC Structure/Sat val, 75:49:00, 35% TC Formation - Survey, 83:50:00, 39% Extratropical Transition, 32:59:00, 15% TC Structure, 10:15:00, 5% TC Formation , 12:56:00, 6% NRL P-3 P-3 Missions per per Objective NRL Missions Objective Extratropical Transition, 4, 19% TC Formation - Survey, 9, 43% TC Structure, 5, 24% TC Formation 3, 14% NRL Time per Objective NRLP-3 P-3 Time per Objective Extratropical Transition, 30:41:00, 17% TC Structure, 41:12:00, 23% TC Formation - Survey, 89:10:00, 50% TC Formation , 17:52:00, 10% DLR FALCON Missions per Objective DLR FALCON Missions per Objective Tropical Water Vapor Export, 2, 8% General Targeting, 5.5, 22% Extratropical Transition, 10, 40% TC Targeting, 7.5, 30% DLR Time per Objective DLR FALCON Time per Objective Tropical Water Vapor Export, 7:20:00, 9% General Targeting, 18:17:30, 22% Extratropical Transition, 33:00:00, 39% TC Targeting, 24:32:30, 30% Dropsondes: • WC-130 – 604 total – 564 good – AXBTs • 229 total • 191 good • NRL P-3 – 343 total – 270 preliminary number of good drops pending final mission reports • DLR FALCON – 323 total • DOTSTAR – 124 total • TOTAL: – 1394 dropped – 1281 good (preliminary) T-PARC Driftsonde Operations Goals • 17 Flights • 38 sondes/flight • 6 week operation period • NPS staff/students operate system via WEB • Send data to GTS quasi real time • Drop 646 Sondes (38x17) Reality (Preliminary) • 16 Balloons Launched • 2 Balloon failures – Flight #5 & #8 • 1 Electronics hardware failure – Flight #7 • 13 Good Flights • 253 Good Soundings • Averaged ~19.5 good sondes/flights Slides by Terry Hock, NCAR Driftsonde Flight Durations T-PARC Driftsonde Flight Schedule 1 18 sondes 2 17 sondes 3 4 16 sondes 5 1 sondes Total Flight Hours of all Balloons 518 Hrs Good Flights 13 Good Sondes Dropped 253 10 sondes Flight # 6 19 sondes 7 0 sondes 8 0 sondes 9 25 sondes 10 18 sondes 11 21 sondes 12 16 sondes 23 sondes 13 14 24 sondes 15 20 sondes 25 sondes 16 8/15 8/17 8/19 8/21 8/23 8/25 8/27 8/29 8/31 9/2 9/4 9/6 9/8 9/10 9/12 9/14 9/16 9/18 9/20 9/22 9/24 9/26 9/28 9/30 10/2 Date Slides by Terry Hock, NCAR Preliminary Summary of Soundings • • • • 13 Gondolas flown (38x13 = 494 sondes) 34 sondes ejected at launch 66 sondes not attempted to drop 394 sondes available to drop • Good Drops: 252 • Failed to release: 117 • Questionable data: 26 64% (of 394) 29.7% (of 394) 6.6% (of 394) Slides by Terry Hock, NCAR Driftsonde Balloons 1 -9 140 150 160 170 180 170 160 Driftsonde Balloons 10 -16 Reduced westward distance in time 140 150 160 170 180 170 160 Operations: Aircraft – buoy deployment First occurrence of the deployment of drifting buoys ahead of a category 5 tropical cyclone (Jangmi). Chart at left and imagery below are from a few hours after the deployment of the buoys along the diagonal to the northwest of the TC 2313 UTC 26 September First buoy deployment In TY Hagupit several days earlier P-3 flight track Second deployment in STY Jangmi Buoy, aircraft, and satellite data in Google Earth Year of Tropical Convection Jointly coordinated by WMO:WCRP and WWRP-THORPEX Through support from ONR and NSF, ECMWF analyses and forecasts are available for the T-PARC and TCS-08 time period T799 4 times daily 10-day forecasts 3-h resolution Available at: http://dataportal.ecmwf.int/data/d/yotc Mission Summaries • Track of tropical circulation system • Time periods in which aircraft missions were conducted • Data base – – – – Aircrafts involved Objectives Hours Data • • • • • • Notes Dropsonde Radar AXBTs Flight level Lidar TCS-006 1 Mission • 1 TC Formation - Survey – C-130 Coverage • 07/1516 – 07/2215 TCS-006 P-3 • none C-130 • 07/1516 – 07/2215 DOTSTAR • none Falcon • none Coverage • 07/1516 – 07/2215 Flight C1 a/c Mission # Location from 0192W Guam to Guam Start Date UTC 8/7/2008 Flight Time UTC Start End Duration 15:16 22:15 6:59 Type genesis Notes • Survey for possible low-level circulation associated with TCS-06 • Square spiral pattern • 20 drops • 9 AXBTs • 5:34 on-station time TY Nuri (TCS-015 / TD13W) 6 Missions • 4 TC fprmation – P-3, C-130 • 2 TC Structure/SAT – C-130 Coverage • • • • 15/2252 – 16/0426 16/1945 – 17/0415 17/1647 – 18/0525 18/1804 – 19/0325 P-3 • • • 15/2252 – 16/0426 16/2206 – 17/0349 17/2157 – 18/0525 C-130 • • • 16/1945 – 17/0415 17/1647 – 17/2321 18/1804 – 19/0325 DOTSTAR • • Flight a/c Mission # Location from to Start Date UTC Flight Time UTC Start End Duration RF02 Guam Guam 8/15/2008 22:52 4:26 5:34 P2 RF03 Guam Guam 8/16/2008 22:06 3:49 5:43 P3 RF04 Guam Guam 8/17/2008 21:57 5:25 7:28 tropical cyclone genesis C1 0415 Guam Guam 8/16/2008 19:45 4:15 8:30 genesis C2 C3 0613W Guam 0813W Guam Guam Guam 8/17/2008 8/18/2008 16:47 18:04 23:21 3:25 6:34 9:21 TD structure satval/structure Notes • 4 TC formation missions Falcon o 2 survey missions o 2 formation missions none 15/2252 – 16/0426 16/1945 – 17/0415 17/1647 – 18/0525 18/1804 – 19/0325 Type P1 20/0843-20/1325 Coverage • • • • TY Nuri (TCS-015 / TD13W) o 1 each by WC130 and P3 • Satellite validation missions flown • First T-PARC DOTSTAR mission TCS-017 1 Mission • 1 Genesis – C-130 Coverage • 24/1827 – 25/0325 TCS-017 P-3 • none Flight C1 C-130 • • none Falcon • none Coverage • 24/1827 – 25/0325 Location from 0117W Guam to Guam Start Date UTC 8/24/2008 Flight Time UTC Start End Duration 18:27 3:25 8:58 Notes 24/1827 – 25/0325 DOTSTAR a/c Mission # • • • • TC Formation survey pattern Lawnmower pattern 24 dropsondes 15 AXBTs Type genesis TCS-025 7 Missions • 5 TC Formation: Survey – P-3, C-130 • 2 Tropical plume/ET – Falcon Coverage • • • • • 26/1812 – 27/0725 27/1953 – 28/0515 28/2110 – 29/0615 29/2210 – 30/0135 30/2210 – 31/0205 P-3 • • TCS-025 28/0024 – 28/0620 28/2240 – 29/0615 Flight C-130 • • • 26/1812 – 27/0725 27/1953 – 28/0515 28/2110 – 29/0135 DOTSTAR • a/c Mission # Location from Start Date to UTC RF05 Guam Guam 8/28/2008 0:24 6:20 5:56 P2 RF06 Guam Guam 8/28/2008 22:40 6:15 7:35 C1 0125W Guam Guam 8/26/2008 18:12 7:25 13:13 genesis C2 0325W Guam Guam 8/27/2008 19:53 5:15 9:22 genesis C3 0325W Guam Guam 8/28/2008 21:10 7:12 10:02 genesis Atsugi Atsugi 8/29/2008 8/30/2008 22:10 22:10 1:35 2:05 3:25 3:55 TWE, ET TWE, ET F1 F2 2 3 Atsugi Atsugi none 29/2210 – 30/0135 30/2210 – 31/0205 Coverage • • • • • Type P1 Notes Falcon • • Flight Time UTC Start End Duration 26/1812 – 27/0725 27/1953 – 28/0515 28/2110 – 29/0615 29/2210 – 30/0135 30/2210 – 21/0205 • WC130 patterns • • • • Survey for low-level circulation Lawnmower then square spiral P3 TC formation survey of asymmetric convection patterns FALCON flew in plume of tropical moisture and transforming TCS disturbance Falcon #2 20080830/00Z Falcon #3 20080831/00Z TCS-030 2 Missions • 2 TC Formation Survey – P-3, C-130 Coverage • 01/1754 – 02/0219 TCS-030 P-3 • Flight 01/1906 – 02/0219 P1 C1 C-130 • 01/1754 – 02/0130 DOTSTAR • none Falcon • none Coverage • 01/1754 – 02/0219 a/c Mission # Location from RF07 Guam 0130W Guam to Guam Guam Start Date UTC 9/1/2008 9/1/2008 Flight Time UTC Start End Duration 19:06 17:54 2:19 1:30 7:13 7:36 Type genesis Notes • TCS030 was a tropical wave with good upper-level support – thought to be a good candidate for development • WC130 and P3 each flew TC formation survey patterns • WC130 flew square spiral pattern TY Sinlaku (TCS-033 / TD15W) Coverage 28 Missions • 8 Structure – P-3, C-130, DOTSTAR • 6 Targeting – Falcon • 14 ET – P-3, C-130, Falcon • • • • • • • • • • • • 09/0030 – 09/1045 09/2100 – 10/1225 10/2043 – 11/1828 12/1138 – 12/2318 13/2330 – 14/0555 15/2135 – 16/0205 16/0500 – 16/0800 16/2044 –17/1115 17/2224 – 18/0720 18/2235 – 19/0725 20/0156 – 20/1206 20/2205 – 21/0205 T-PARC Sinlaku Missions DOTSTAR C-130 • • • • • • • • 09/0030 – 09/1045 10/0140 – 10/1225 11/0728 – 11/1828 12/1138 – 12/2318 16/2044 – 17/0426 17/2224 – 18/0713 19/0053 – 19/0711 20/0156 – 20/1206 P-3 • • • • • 10/2019 – 11/0602 16/2053 – 17/0515 17/2239 – 18/0616 19/0015 – 19/0725 20/0235 – 20/1145 • • • 09/2100 – 10/0231 10/2043 – 11/0242 15/2143 – 16/0205 DLR Falcon • • • • • • • • • • • • 11/0320 – 11/0720 11/0815 – 11/1220 13/2330 – 14/0315 14/0445 – 14/0555 15/2135 – 16/0120 16/0500 – 16/0800 17/0320 – 17/0635 17/0750 – 17/1115 18/0325 – 18/0720 18/2235 – 18/2355 19/0110 – 19/0510 20/2205 – 21/0205 Coverage • • • • • • • • • • • • 09/0030 – 09/1045 09/2100 – 10/1225 10/2043 – 11/1828 12/1138 – 12/2318 13/2330 – 14/0555 15/2135 – 16/0205 16/0500 – 16/0800 16/2044 –17/1115 17/2224 – 18/0720 18/2235 – 19/0725 20/0156 – 20/1206 20/2205 – 21/0205 Note: Times listed above are times aircraft were aloft and do not necessarily reflect on-station times. TY Sinlaku (TCS-033 / TD15W) Flight a/c Mission # Location from to Start Date UTC Flight Time UTC Start End Duration Type P1 RF10 Guam Guam 9/10/2008 20:19 6:02 9:43 typhoon structure P2 RF13 Guam Yokota 9/16/2008 20:53 5:15 8:22 ET P3 RF14 Yokota Yokota 9/17/2008 22:39 6:16 7:37 ET P4 RF15 Yokota Kadena 9/19/2008 0:15 5:47 5:32 ET P5 RF16 Kadena Kadena 9/20/2008 2:35 11:45 9:10 ET C1 0133W Guam Guam 9/9/2008 0:30 10:45 10:15 TC structure C2 0233W Guam Guam 9/10/2008 1:40 12:25 10:45 structure C3 0433W Guam Guam 9/11/2008 7:28 18:28 11:00 structure C4 0533W Guam Guam 9/12/2008 11:38 23:18 11:40 eyewall structure C5 0833W Guam Yokota 9/16/2008 20:44 4:26 7:42 ET C6 1033W Yokota Yokota 9/17/2008 22:24 7:13 8:49 ET/Structure C7 1233W Yokota Kadena 9/19/2008 0:53 7:11 6:18 ET C8 1333W Kadena Kadena 9/20/2008 1:56 12:06 10:10 ET F1 7 Atsugi F1 8 OkinawaAtsugi Okinawa 9/11/2008 3:20 7:20 4:00 TT 9/11/2008 8:15 12:20 4:05 TT F2 9 Atsugi Iwa-Kuni 9/13/2008 23:30 3:15 3:45 TT 9/14/2008 4:45 5:55 1:10 TT Okinawa 9/15/2008 21:35 1:20 3:45 TT 9/16/2008 5:00 8:00 3:00 TT Iwa-Kuni 9/17/2008 3:20 6:35 3:15 ET 7:50 11:15 3:25 ET F2 10 Iwa-KuniAtsugi F3 11 Atsugi F3 12 OkinawaAtsugi F4 13 Atsugi F4 14 Iwa-KuniAtsugi 9/17/2008 F5 15 Atsugi Atsugi 9/18/2008 3:25 7:20 3:55 ET F6 16 Atsugi Misawa 9/18/2008 22:35 23:55 1:20 ET F6 17 Misawa Atsugi 9/19/2008 1:10 5:10 4:00 ET F7 18 Atsugi Atsugi 9/20/2008 22:05 2:05 4:00 ET D1 Taiwan Taiwan 9/9/2008 21:00 2:31 5:31 D2 D3 Taiwan Taiwan Taiwan Taiwan 9/10/2008 9/15/2008 20:43 21:43 2:42 2:05 5:59 4:22 Notes • Multiple mission types with all aircraft • See reports on catalog Falcon #14 20080917/10Z Sinlaku 17 September 05:30 UTC TCS-037 (TD16W) Coverage 5 Missions • 4 TC formation – P-3, C-130 • 1 Targeting / ET – Falcon • • • 06/1946 – 07/0519 07/2208 – 08/0815 08/2210 – 09/0722 TCS-037 (TD16W) C-130 • • 06/1946 – 07/0519 07/2208 – 08/0745 P-3 • • 07/2345 – 08/0815 09/0148 – 09/0722 DOTSTAR • none Falcon • 08/2210 – 09/0150 Coverage • • • 06/1946 – 07/0519 07/2208 – 08/0815 08/2210 – 09/0722 Flight a/c Mission # Location from to Start Date UTC P1 RF08 Guam Guam 9/7/2008 P2 RF09 Guam Guam C1 0137W Guam Guam C2 F1 0237W Guam 6 Atsugi Guam Atsugi Flight Time UTC Start End Duration Type 23:45 8:15 8:30 9/9/2008 1:48 7:22 5:34 9/6/2008 19:46 5:19 9:33 genesis 9/7/2008 9/8/2008 22:08 22:10 7:45 1:50 9:37 3:40 genesis T, ET Notes • TC Formation – survey missions • WC130 flew square spiral patterns • P3 flights obtained data on TUTT cell structure and surrounding convection TY Hagiput (TCS-043 / TD18W) 4 Missions • 2 TC formation survey – • P-3 2 Structure – P-3, DOTSTAR Coverage • • • 13/2003 – 14/0355 14/2008 – 15/0230 21/2100 – 22/0650 TY Hagiput (TCS-043 / TD18W) C-130 • 14/2008 – 15/0230 P-3 • • • 13/2003 – 14/0355 14/2014 – 15/0123 21/2235 – 22/0650 DOTSTAR • 21/2100 – 22/0300 Falcon • none Coverage • • • 13/2003 – 14/0355 14/2008 – 15/0230 21/2100 – 22/0650 Flight a/c Mission # Location from to Start Date UTC Flight Time UTC Start End Duration Type P1 RF11 Guam Guam 9/13/2008 20:03 3:55 7:52 Genesis of TCS043 P2 RF12 Guam Guam 9/14/2008 20:13 1:23 5:10 tropical cyclone genesis P3 RF17 Kadena Kadena 9/21/2008 22:35 6:50 8:15 Structure C1 D1 0343W Guam Guam Taiwan Taiwan 20:08 21:00 2:30 3:00 6:22 6:00 "high-level invest" 9/14/2008 9/21/2008 Notes • P3 missions were several days prior to formation as the tropical wave passed by Guam • Structure mission done during transit from Kadena AFB to Andersen AFB STY Jangmi (TCS-047 / TD19W) 15 Missions • 1 TC formation – P-3 • 7 Structure – P-3, C-130, DOTSTAR • 4 Targeting – Falcon • 3 ET – Falcon Coverage • • • • • • • • • 23/0012 – 23/0711 24/1713 – 25/0320 25/2003 – 26/0650 26/2008 – 27/1417 27/2044 – 28/0142 28/0310 – 28/1110 29/0350 – 29/0710 29/2220 – 30/0655 01/0525 – 01/1310 Typhoon Sinlaku 10-11 September: 4 Aircraft Missions 0000 0600 1200 1800 0000 0600 10 September 1200 1800 0000 11 September WC-130: Center fixes, satellite validation, structure, intensity NRL P-3: Outer band structure FALCON: Typhoon Targeting DOTSTAR: Typhoon targeting Targeting Motivation: Track Uncertainty 10 September ECMWF Strike Probability JMA Ensemble Members Numerical model aids TCS-049 1 Mission • 1 Genesis (?) – P-3 Coverage • 02/2115 – 03/0430 TCS-049 P-3 • Flight 02/2115 – 03/0430 P1 C-130 • none DOTSTAR • none Falcon • none Coverage • 02/2115 – 03/0430 a/c Mission # RF22 Location from Guam to Guam Start Date UTC 10/2/2008 Flight Time UTC Start End Duration 21:15 4:30 Type 7:15 Notes • Survey of general convection south of Guam • Weak tropical wave TCS-051 P-3 • Flight 03/2224 – 03/0805 P1 C-130 • none DOTSTAR • none Falcon • none Coverage • 03/2224 – 03/0805 a/c Mission # RF23 Location from Guam to Guam Start Date UTC 10/3/2008 Flight Time UTC Start End Duration 22:24 8:05 9:41 Type TCS genesis / MCS Notes • Detailed observations of MCS evolution Firsts • First operation of WC-130Js at 31,000 ft altitude except when penetrating a mature TC – Dropped sondes and AXBTs from high altitude – Timed with passage of polar-orbiting satellites for satellite intensity validation • First systematic targeting operation in the WPAC – Comparison of several methods from a variety of operational and research organizations – Multiple aircraft – ECMWF/UKMO Data Targeting System • First four plane operation in a WPAC TC • First buoy drop in front of a WPAC TC – Two TCs – First time a category 5 TC passed over buoys dropped in its path • First systematic observations of full extratropical transition process – Multiple aircraft and land-based radar – Timed with satellite overpass Firsts • First operation of the Driftsonde in the Pacific – Launch from Hawaii – Dropsonde data retrieved and sent to GTS for use in operational numerical weather forecasting models • First use of the ELDORA radar in typhoons over the western North Pacific flight operations in: – – – – Cloud clusters Developing tropical cyclones Mature tropical cyclones Tropical cyclones undergoing extratropical transition