Transcript COST 723
COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Data Exploitation and Modeling for the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere www.cost723.org William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Scope and Structure Altitude region around the tropopause is crucial for earths energy balance (water vapor cooling below, ozone heating above). Chemical, microphysical, and dynamical processes not well understood . Model and data studies for the UTLS altitude region. Assimilation as the central tool to consolidate models and observations. WG2 3 Workgroups for the 3 areas. WG1 WG3 Common workshops for all workgroups. William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Countries Belgium, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, UK William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Chairmen and Working Groups Chair: William Lahoz (University of Reading) Vice-chair: Bernard Legras (LMD) WG1: Data and measurement techniques (S. Buehler) WG2: An assimilated ozone and humidity dataset (W. Lahoz) WG3: Assessing the state of the UTLS and understanding the relevant processes (B. Legras) William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Sofia Workshop What do I expect? Strengthening of links between Bulgaria and other European scientists Overview of WGs 1-3 Examples of COST 723 work Exploration of collaborations: between COST 723 partners; between COST 722 & 723 COST 722: “Short-range forecasting methods of fog, visibility & low clouds” Preparation for a new COST action: e.g. integration of in situ networks and satellite data (Nik Kaempfer) William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Data Exploitation and Modeling for the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere www.cost723.org WG1 Activities William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Overview Focus on humidity measurements Improvements of different techniques and intercomparisons – In Situ – Ground Based – Satellite Summary and Conclusions William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 In Situ MOL Lindenberg (RS80, RS92) FMI Sodankylä (LAUTLOS campaign) William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Ground Based Uni Bern (Microwave) CNR-IMAA Potenza (LIDAR) CNR-ISAC Rome (LIDAR) William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Satellite Chalmers Göteborg (Odin SMR) HIPC Prague (Odin SMR isotopes) Uni Bremen (AMSU-B) William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Summary and Conclusions A lot of ongoing activities (19 publications so far on www.cost723.org/publications) Intercomparisons give valuable insights – Inside a technique by different instruments – Across different techniques A pity to stop the good collaboration now Suggestion for a follow-up action William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 WG2: An assimilated ozone and humidity dataset Our role/goal: •DA used to incorporate novel observations (e.g. ozone & stratospheric water vapour in UTLS), & evaluate research satellite data (e.g. Envisat). •Incorporate chemical data (e.g. ozone, water vapour from Envisat) into DA systems. William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Activities: How to incorporate chemistry? •GCM assimilation (DARC, Met Office, ECMWF; 3d-var, 4d-var) – linear chemistry •CTM assimilation (KNMI, BIRA-IASB, U. KÖLN, UPMC; var methods, variants of KF) •Coupled GCM/CTM assimilation (MF; 4d-var) Links with ASSET EU project (http://www.darc.nerc.ac.uk/asset) William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Activities: Envisat cal-val •GCM (MIPAS: DARC/Met Office, ECMWF) •CTM (SCIA/MIPAS/GOMOS: KNMI, BIRA-IASB, UPMC) http://envisat.esa.int/workshops/acve2/presentations Ozone intercomparison project ASSET partners Paper submitted to ACPD: Geer et al. (2006), accepted http://darc.nerc.ac.uk/asset William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 William Lahoz COST MC Meeting What comes from these studies: key ideas in chemical DA Sofia, May 19 2006 •Ozone DA key driver in NWP & chemical models; not as much benefit as originally hoped in NWP Key reason: relatively poor information content of ozone data available from current operational satellites -> Need more data (IASI, GOME-2,…) •Important area for NWP & chemical model DA: estimation of B Needs to take account of physical & chemical principles & statistical data One of biggest challenges in DA •Bias an important issue in DA -> estimation of biases a major challenge Observations & models confronted to identify & attribute biases Implementation of bias correction schemes active field of research William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 •Model deficiencies in transport & chemistry limit value of DA V. difficult for assimilated data to represent processes on timescales much longer than typical assimilation cycle – O(weeks to months) •Expanding area for future DA activities is likely to be air quality Experience gained in stratospheric chemical DA -> starting point for tackling technical problems associated of tropospheric chemical DA •Currently a wealth of constituent data from research satellites Danger that this will diminish just as DA techniques to exploit those data reaching maturity -> What happens after Envisat & Eos Aura? William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Finally… Sofia, May 19 2006 •DA invaluable for use of stratospheric constituent measurements: •Fills gaps between observations •Allows use of heterogeneous measurements •Numerical model -> information to be propagated forward in time: combination of measurements available at different times & locations •Properly applied, DA can add value to observations & models, compared to information that each can supply on their own •DA underpins evaluation of impact of current observation types using OSEs, and future global observing system using OSSEs DA ADDS VALUE BUT, for proper use, limitations must be borne in mind William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Achievements: •Assimilation of Envisat data & cal-val •Intercomparison of ozone analyses •Address complexity of chemistry for DA •Ozone forecasts (stratosphere/troposphere) •Publications •Summer schools (lectures & organization) •Invited presentations at international meetings William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Summary COST 723 WG2 is on a good track. A lot of work via ASSET (Envisat) Links with SPARC community (workshop in Oct 2006) Plans for Eos Aura New COST action?: integration between in situ network and satellite data William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 WG3 ACTIVITY Climatology B. Kois (Poland): Changes in the UT/LS over Central Europe B. Legras & F. d'Ovidio (France): Climatology of mixing in the UT/LS Transport in the UT/LS I. Pisso & B. Legras (France): Pollution plume in the UT B. Legras (France): Age of air Stratosphere-troposphere exchange E. Gerasopoulos, P. Zanis et al. (Greece) : Deep penetration of stratospheric air over Eastern Mediterranea R. James & B. Legras (France): Mixing at the tropopause and upper-level frontogenesis Parametrization of micro-physical processes K. Gierens (Germany): A new ice scheme in the ECMWF model William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 COST 723 UTLS Summer school 3-15 October 2005 Cargese, Corsica Topics: - UTLS measurement techniques - data assimilation - modelling studies of the UTLS Support from: COST/ESF; CNRS/CNES; UCAR/NSF Audience - researchers + students (school/workshop) Format - 18 ½ lecturers, ~75 participants -- lectures -> http://www.cost723.org/school -- extra presentations (eg writing skills) -- discussion panels - posters William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Lecturers: 17 ½ lecturers Observations: S. Buehler, J.-P. Cammas, B. Carli, H. Kelder, P. Levelt, L. Moyer, G. Vaughan Data assimilation: F. Bouttier, D. Fonteyn(*), W.A. Lahoz, R. Swinbank, O. Talagrand Modelling: M. Baldwin, A. Gettelman, K. Gierens, B. Legras, A. O’Neill, H. Wernli (*) Unable to attend – lectures given by W.A. Lahoz William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Students: 128 applicants from 44 countries, all continents (except Antarctica!) Final list: 73 students; 31 male & 42 female Statistics follow in the MC presentation... William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Publications ACP Special Issue Data exploitation and modeling for the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (COST 723) Editor(s): W. Lahoz, S. A. Buehler, and D. McKenna A practical demonstration on AMSU retrieval precision for upper tropospheric humidity by a non-linear multi-channel regression method C. Jiménez, P. Eriksson, V. O. John, S. A. Buehler Page(s) 451-459. SRef-ID: 1680-7324/acp/2005-5-451 Abstract Print Version (444 KB) Discussion Paper Special Issue SRef Overview 11.02.2005 Water vapour and ozone profiles in the midlatitude upper troposphere G. Vaughan, C. Cambridge, L. Dean, A. W. Phillips Page(s) 963-971. SRef-ID: 1680-7324/acp/2005-5-963 Abstract Print Version (2605 KB) Discussion Paper Special Issue SRef Overview 21.03.2005 A case study on the formation and evolution of ice supersaturation in the vicinity of a warm conveyor belt's outflow region P. Spichtinger, K. Gierens, H. Wernli Page(s) 973-987. SRef-ID: 1680-7324/acp/2005-5-973 Abstract Print Version (3751 KB) Discussion Paper Special Issue SRef Overview 22.03.2005 Formation of ice supersaturation by mesoscale gravity waves P. Spichtinger, K. Gierens, A. Dörnbrack Page(s) 1243-1255. SRef-ID: 1680-7324/acp/2005-5-1243 Abstract Print Version (1986 KB) Discussion Paper Special Issue SRef Overview William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Publications ACP Special Issue 30.05.2005 Analysis of water vapor LIDAR measurements during the MAP campaign: evidence of sub-structures of stratospheric intrusions P. D'Aulerio, F. Fierli, F. Congeduti, G. Redaelli Page(s) 1301-1310. SRef-ID: 1680-7324/acp/2005-5-1301 Abstract Print Version (2391 KB) Discussion Paper Special Issue SRef Overview 01.06.2005 GPS radio occultation with CHAMP and SAC-C: global monitoring of thermal tropopause parameters T. Schmidt, S. Heise, J. Wickert, G. Beyerle, C. Reigber Page(s) 1473-1488. SRef-ID: 1680-7324/acp/2005-5-1473 Abstract Print Version (2837 KB) Discussion Paper Special Issue SRef Overview 15.06.2005 Variability of the Lagrangian turbulent diffusion in the lower stratosphere B. Legras, I. Pisso, G. Berthet, F. Lefèvre Page(s) 1605-1622. SRef-ID: 1680-7324/acp/2005-5-1605 Abstract Print Version (2424 KB) Discussion Paper Special Issue SRef Overview 30.05.2005 Analysis of water vapor LIDAR measurements during the MAP campaign: evidence of sub-structures of stratospheric intrusions P. D'Aulerio, F. Fierli, F. Congeduti, G. Redaelli Page(s) 1301-1310. SRef-ID: 1680-7324/acp/2005-5-1301 Abstract Print Version (2391 KB) Discussion Paper Special Issue SRef Overview William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Publications ACP Special Issue 22.06.2005 Retrieval of temperature and water vapor profiles from radio occultation refractivity and bending angle measurements using an Optimal Estimation approach: a simulation study A. von Engeln, G. Nedoluha Page(s) 1665-1677. SRef-ID: 1680-7324/acp/2005-5-1665 Abstract Print Version (307 KB) Discussion Paper Special Issue SRef Overview 07.07.2005 Comparison of microwave satellite humidity data and radiosonde profiles: A survey of European stations V. O. John, S. A. Buehler Page(s) 1843-1853. SRef-ID: 1680-7324/acp/2005-5-1843 Abstract Print Version (317 KB) Discussion Paper Special Issue SRef Overview 25.07.2005 Retrieval of upper tropospheric water vapor and upper tropospheric humidity from AMSU radiances A. Houshangpour, V. O. John, S. A. Buehler Page(s) 2019-2028. SRef-ID: 1680-7324/acp/2005-5-2019 Abstract Print Version (9313 KB) Discussion Paper Special Issue SRef Overview 05.08.2005 Indications of thin cirrus clouds in the stratosphere at mid-latitudes P. Keckhut, A. Hauchecorne, S. Bekki, A. Colette, C. David, J. Jumelet Page(s) 3407-3414. SRef-ID: 1680-7324/acp/2005-5-3407 Abstract Print Version (420 KB) Discussion Paper Special Issue SRef Overview William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Publications QJRMS Special Issue • • • • • • • To come out 2007 10,000 Euros to spend Pavol Nejedlik to discuss with RMS Page charges of 100 Euros (£75) per page Colour figures 750 Euros (£500) Papers from Sofia Workshop + COST 723 related Suggest: first ten accepted papers will be supported with 1000 Euros each • Editors: W.A. Lahoz + someone else • Encourage submission by December 2006? William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 STSMs Please use (http://www.cost723.org/docs) Review committee: SB, WL & BL 9 STSMs Marion Muller, Barbara Brzoska, Kostas Elefterathos, Dieter Feist, Alan Geer, Adam Jaczewski, Tuomo Suortti, William Lahoz and Andreas Dornbrack Poster at EGU (Feist) & several papers in the pipeline William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 Final report Suggested contents (not longer than 200 pages) 1) Introduction (William Lahoz, WL and Stefan Buehler, SB) 2) The Working groups 2.1) WG1 (SB) 2.2) WG2 (WL) 2.3) WG3 (Bernard Legras, BL) 3) Activities 3.1) STSMs (WL and SB) 3.2) Workshops 3.2.1) ESTEC 2004 (SB and BL) 3.2.2) Sofia 2006 (WL and SB) 3.3) Summer School (WL, BL and SB) 3.4) Journal special issues 3.4.1) ACP/ACPD (WL, SB) 3.4.2) QJRMS (WL, SB, BL) *TBC* 4) Achievements (WL, SB and BL) 5) Recommendations (WL, SB, BL) A) Annexes (WL, SB and BL) A.1) Publications A.2) MC members A.3) List of STSMs William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 New COST proposal • Integration of in situ networks and satellite data (Nik Kaempfer – suggest lead, with contribution from other COST 723 members) • Preliminary proposal max 1500 words (3 pages) using web template (http://www.cost.esf.org.opencall) by 31 May • Proponents are invited to indicate their preference for one Domain (Earth System Science & Environmental Management). Proposals not fitting this broad disciplinary structure are also welcome and will be assessed separately. • Proposals should include researchers from a minimum of five COST member states and should network nationally funded research activities. No request for research funds. • Their work plan should include no more than four targeted Working Groups and include activities such as meetings, short term scientific missions, work shops, conferences and outreach activities. • On average financial support of some € 90.000 p.a. as grant for up to 4 years can be expected. • Full proposals invited for submission by 30 June, submission by 15 September William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 New COST proposal Template: Proposer details Scientific content: Title, abstract, key words Preferred COST domain Text of proposal (max 10000 characters, ~1500 words): Background, problems; benefits; Objectives, deliverables & expected scientific impact; scientific programme and innovation; organization Participants interested in work PAY ATTENTION TO ASSESSMENT CRITERIA William Lahoz COST MC Meeting Sofia, May 19 2006 New COST proposal Assessment criteria: • Impact of proposal • Quality of proposal • Management of proposal • Presentation • Overall recommendation William Lahoz