Transcript Slide 1

Electric Vehicle Conversion Donor Car Analysis
Chris Jones, Electric Auto Association
www.nbeaa.org
October 17, 2009
This presentation is posted at http://www.nbeaa.org/presentations/donor_cars.pdf.
See http://www.nbeaa.org/osev/sota/AAA-SRJC-EAA_donor_car_analysis.doc for report with text.
All data sources from www.autotrader.com and www.kbb.com except as noted.
NBEAA 2009 Technical Series
1. EV Drive Systems
2. EV Batteries
3. EV Charging Systems
TODAY >>
4. EV Donor Vehicles
Agenda
Distance to Dealer
Age of Vehicle
Body Style
Transmission
Curb Weight
Safety
Color
Tire Rolling Resistance
Model Selection
Blue Book Values
Dealer Asking Prices
Pictures
Distance to Dealer
Used and Certified Preowned Cars for Sale vs. Distance from 95404 on www.autotrader.com
200000
number of used cars for sale
150000
100000
50000
0
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
miles from zip code 95404
350
400
450
500
8
19 1
8
19 2
8
19 3
8
19 4
8
19 5
8
19 6
8
19 7
8
19 8
8
19 9
9
19 0
9
19 1
9
19 2
9
19 3
9
19 4
9
19 5
9
19 6
9
19 7
9
19 8
9
20 9
0
20 0
0
20 1
0
20 2
0
20 3
0
20 4
0
20 5
0
20 6
0
20 7
0
20 8
09
19
cars for sale
2500
2000
1500
60%
50%
1000
40%
30%
500
20%
10%
0
0%
model year
cumulative percent
Age of Vehicle
Used Cars for Sale Within 50 Miles of 95404 on www.autotrader.com
100%
90%
80%
70%
per model year
cumulative
Body Style
Used Car Body Styles and Transmissions Since 2000 Within 50 Miles of 95404 on
www.autrader.com
3500
3000
number for sale
2500
2000
automatic
manual
1500
1000
500
0
sedan
SUV
truck
coupe
hatchback
body style
convertible
van
wagon
Transmission
Average new MPG change in 2007 sedans going from manual to automatic transmissions
15%
10%
average MPG change
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
2000
2500
3000
3500
curb weight, lb
4000
4500
Curb Weight
Curb Weight vs. Model Year
2900
curb weight of base model sedan, lb
2800
2700
Ford Focus
2600
Nissan Sentra
Toyota Corolla
Honda Civic
Mitsubishi Lancer
2500
Mazda 3
2400
2300
2200
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
model year
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
Curb Weight
Average MPG vs. Curb Weight for 2007 sedans with manual transmissions
35
average MPG
30
25
20
15
10
2000
2500
3000
3500
curb weight, lb
4000
4500
Curb Weight
Used Manual Transmission Sedan Curb Weight vs. Make
Cars less than 3000 lb with enough tail for rear battery box that are still in production highlighted in green
4500
GS450h
M5
4000
BMW
S4
Chrysler
Ford
GM
curb weight, pounds
TL
CTS
X-
IS250
G35
3500
5
Cobalt
Kia
Passat
Sonata
S40
Mazda
9-3
Accord
PT
Cruiser
Hyundai
A4
C230
TS
3 Series
Honda
Maxima
Jetta
6
Mercedes Benz
Altima
Fusion
Mitsubishi
Imprez
a
3000
Caliber
Nissan
Sentra
Ion
Focus
3
Elantr
Saab
Vers
Subaru
Lance
r
Civic
Toyota
Corolla
2500
Volkswagen
Rio
Yaris
2000
0
2
4
6
8
make
10
12
14
16
Curb Weight
Weight vs. Quantity for Sale for Manual Transmission Sedans within 50 miles of 95404 on
www.autotrader.com
100
90
quantity for sale / cumulative percent
80
70
60
models
50
cumulative
40
30
20
10
0
2000
2500
3000
3500
curb weight, pounds
4000
4500
Safety
Source: An Analysis of Traffic Deaths by Vehicle Type and Model, www.aceee.org.
ue
color
pi
nk
w
ye
llo
go
ld
bu
rg
un
dy
of
fw
hi
te
br
ow
n
ch
ar
co
al
be
ig
e
or
an
ge
pu
rp
le
tu
rq
uo
is
e
ee
n
gr
ot
he
r
ta
n
re
d
bl
ay
gr
te
ac
k
hi
w
bl
r
si
lv
e
quantity
Color
Sedan Exterior Colors
43% are light
120000
100000
80000
60000
light
dark
40000
20000
0
Tire Rolling Resistance
Source: http://www.greenseal.org/resources/reports/CGR_tire_rollingresistance.pdf.
Model Selection
Manual Transmission Sedans
number for
sale
make
model
2007 base model curb
weight
26
Volkswagen
Jetta
3230
17
BMW
3 series
3340
14
Toyota
Corolla
2530
13
Subaru
Impreza
3016
11
Honda
Civic
11
Mazda
10
start
date
end
date
1966
n/a
2628
1972
n/a
3
2780
2004
n/a
Mitsubishi
Lancer
2745
1973
n/a
8
BMW
5 series
3428
7
Mazda
6
3166
6
Ford
Focus
2621
2000
n/a
6
Nissan
Sentra
2853
1982
n/a
5
BMW
M5
4012
5
Nissan
Altima
3055
5
Saab
9-3
3230
4
Honda
Accord
3188
4
Saturn
Ion
2752
3
Audi
S4
3990
3
Cadillac
CTS
3509
3
Mercedes
Benz
C230
3405
3
Toyota
Yaris
2293
2003
big
enough?
2007
No
Model Selection
number for
sale
make
model
2007 base model curb
weight
2
Acura
TSX
3345
2
Dodge
Caliber
2966
2
Infiniti
G35
3497
2
Lexus
IS 250
3435
2
Nissan
Maxima
3591
1
Acura
TL
3623
1
Audi
A4
3428
1
Chevrolet
Cobalt
3216
1
Chrysler
PT
Cruiser
3072
1
Ford
Fusion
3151
1
Hyundai
Elantra
2747
1
Hyundai
Sonata
3266
1
Jaguar
X-Type
3516
1
Kia
Rio
2365
1
Lexus
GS450h
4134
1
Nissan
Versa
2749
1
Volkswagen
Passat
3344
1
Volvo
S40
3234
187
Total
start
date
2007
end
date
big
enough?
n/a
No
No
Model Selection
Make and Model
Lowest Price
Quantity for sale within 50
miles
Ford Focus
$4,688
4
Nissan Sentra
$5,995
3
Toyota Corolla
$4,995
12
Honda Civic
$5,995
8
Mitsubishi Lancer
$6,500
9
Mazda 3
$7,995
4
Total
40
Blue Book Values
Kelley Blue Book Private Party Value for Base Model Compact Manual Transmission Sedans
$14,000.00
$12,000.00
$10,000.00
Corolla
$8,000.00
Lancer
price
Civic
Focus
Mazda 3
$6,000.00
Sentra
$4,000.00
$2,000.00
$0.00
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
model year
2005
2006
2007
2008
Dealer Asking Prices
Asking Prices for Dealer Ads within 50 miles of 95404
$30,000
$25,000
$20,000
Corolla
price
Lancer
Civic
$15,000
Focus
Mazda 3
Sentra
$10,000
$5,000
$0
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
model year
2006
2007
2008
2009
Pictures
Ford Focus
Generation 1, 2000-2007
Generation 2, 2008-present
Toyota Corolla
Generation 8, 1998-2002
Generation 9, 2003-2008
Pictures
Honda Civic
Generation 6, 1996-2000
Generation 7, 2001-2005
Mazda 3
Generation 8, 2006-present
Generation 1, 2004-2008
Pictures
Nissan Sentra
Mitsubishi Lancer
Generation 5, 2000-2006
Generation 7, 2002-2006
Generation 6, 2007-present
Generation 8, 2007-present