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What have we Learned from ACE-Asia? The ACE-Asia Science Team Tim Bates (NOAA PMEL), Phil Russell (NASA Ames), and Barry J. Huebert Department of Oceanography University of Hawaii Honolulu, HI 96822 USA [email protected] B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 Characterization: Determine the physical, chemical, and optical properties of the major aerosol types in the Eastern Asian and Northwest Pacific region and investigate the relationships between these properties. 1. How do the aerosol chemical, physical, and optical properties change with altitude, location, and time in Asia? 2. How absorbing are Asian dust and pollution aerosols? 3. How do the size and light scattering by Asian aerosols change with relative humidity? B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 Radiation: Quantify the interactions between aerosols and radiation in this region. 4. With what accuracy can in situ measurements be integrated over the depth of the atmosphere to predict the observed radiative effects? 5. How much quantitative information about aerosols and their radiative impacts can be derived from satellites and other remote sensors? 6. What is the radiative forcing by Asian aerosols and how does it change with emissions, time, and distance from the continent? B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 Processes: Quantify the physical and chemical processes controlling the evolution of the major aerosol types and of their physical, chemical, and optical properties and incorporate these into improved models. 7. Are the available source inventories for Asian primary aerosols and gas-phase precursors sufficiently realistic to support assessments of control strategies? 8. How are aerosol properties and dynamics modified by the uptake of gases? B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 1. How do aerosol chemical, physical, and optical properties change with altitude, location, and time in Asia? Dust acts like a sponge, soaking up pollutant gases and aerosols. These SEM micrographs by Jim Anderson (ASU) show the way soot balls (pollution) coat mineral dust particles Many different forms of soot stuck on a particle of quartz (SiO2). Complex aggregate of soot, mineral particles (upper), and a non-soot particle. B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 Toxic metals become attached to dust even quite close to dust sources (data from Zhenbeitai, PRC) 10 Crustal Elements are not Enriched in ZBT Aerosols 0 10 Ca 0 But Pollution Elements ARE Enriched in ZBT Aerosols Fe Mg K Na -1 10 Aerosol Ratio Element / Al Aerosol Ratio Element / Al 10 Ti 10 Mn Ba -2 Sr 10 Ce Co Li La Sc Nd -3 -1 Pb 10 -2 Zn Cr V Cu Ni 10 -3 10 -4 10 -5 Tl Sb Mo Cd Th 10 Pr Gd Sm Dy U Er -4 Eu 10 Data f rom R Arimoto and XY Zhang -5 10 -5 10 -4 10 -3 10 -2 10 -1 Crustal Reference Ratio Element / Al 10 0 Data f rom R Arimoto and XY Zhang 10 -5 10 -4 10 -3 10 -2 10 -1 Crustal Reference Ratio Element / Al 10 0 Arimoto, Zhang, Kang, Huebert, Savoie, Prospero, Sage, Schloesslin, and Khaing, Chemical composition of aerosols from Zhenbeitai, People's Replublic of China and Gosan, South Korea observed during ACEAsia, J. Geophys. Res., in prep (ACE-Asia Special Issue B), 2003. B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 SO2 and Scattering Profiles D Total Scattering <10um SO2_1_sec_pptv Submicron Scattering 5000 D Not all layers are the same: some dust layers are more modified by pollution than others. C-130 sounding over Yellow Sea 4000 Blue = Total Scatt Green= <1um Scatt Red = SO2 D 3000 D P 2000 P SO2 and dust co-exist from 4-5 km, but dust has scavenged all SO2 from the 3-4 km layer. 1000 P 0 Courtesy of Blomquist, UH; Bandy, Drexel; Masonis & Anderson, U. Washington B. Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 XTSG10 0 1000 10 2000 SO2_1_sec_pptv 20 30 3000 40 XTSG1 4000 50 60 2. How absorbing are Asian dust and pollution aerosols? Light absorbed by aerosols is highly variable regionally. Unpolluted Asian dust does not absorb much as we expected. Co-Albedo (Absorption) 0.20 1 2 3 Fine_Only____All_Aerosols____Coarse_Only 0.15 Replotted by BJH Co-albedo is the fraction of light extinction due to absorption. (The balance is scattering.) 0.10 0.05 0.00 Asian Fine Polln Indian Ocean N America PollutedDust 1 km Dust 6 km Dust Courtesy P. Quinn (NOAA-PMEL) and S. Masonis (UW) The perception of how much light dust absorbs is changing rapidly! Anderson, Masonis, Covert, Ahlquist, Howell, Clarke, and McNaughton, Variability of aerosol optical properties derived from in-situ aircraft measurements during ACE-Asia, J. Geophys. Res., Submitted (ACEAsia Special Issue), 2003. B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 The Mass Absorption Efficiency of soot is controversial. Ron Brown data argues that MAE ~ 9 m2/g for PM-10 Their MAE ~ 12 m2/g for PM-1 With Mie theory it is hard to explain MAEs larger than about 10 m2/g Quinn, Bates, Coffman, Miller, Covert, and Welton, Marine boundary layer aerosol optical properties during ACE Asia as a function of aerosol source region, J. Geophys. Res., ACE-Asia Special Issue B, 2003. B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 By contrast, BC encountered by the C-130 often had a Mass Absorption Efficiency (MAE) less than 10 m2/g. Absorption 532, Mm-1 (S/N>2) 20 MAE=5 MAE=10 15 MAE=2 m2/g 10 5 Dusty samples Scattering dominated by pollution 0 0 1 2 3 EC, ug/sm3 (S/N>2) 4 5 6 Bertram, Huebert, Howell, Eatough, Masonis, Anderson, Blomquist, and Heath, Organic and elemental carbon vs altitude during ACE-Asia, J. Geophys. Res., in prep, 2003. B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 MAE, m2/g When we sort the C-130 MAE to eliminate high-dust cases, the remaining data shows the clear impact that coating materials (OC and NSS) have on the MAE of soot (OC+NSS)/EC Bertram, Huebert, Howell, Eatough, Masonis, Anderson, Blomquist, and Heath, Organic and elemental carbon vs altitude during ACE-Asia, J. Geophys. Res., in prep, 2003. B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 3. How do the size and light scattering by Asian aerosols change with relative humidity? Aerosol Optical Properties Show Broad Diversity with Aerosol Type Controlled RH Nephelometry showed that hysteresis plays a large role. 3 sp dry (1/Mm) 200 2 0 f(RH) marine dust anthro 1 0.5 å 1 0 Marine Period Dusty Period Anthropogenic Period -0.5 marine dust anthro 0 0 20 40 RH (%) 60 80 100 Carrico, Kus, Rood, Quinn, and Bates, Mixtures of pollution, dust, seasalt and volcanic aerosol during ACE-Asia: Aerosol radiative properties as a function of relative humidity, J. Geophys. Res., Submitted (ACE-Asia Special Issue), 2003. B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 How do the size and light scattering by Asian aerosols change with relative humidity? This is also controversial, since the surface and the airborne measurements give different values. The table below is from four fly-by comparisons: Ratio C-130/Ron Brown 5-Apr-05 9-Apr-05 13-Apr-01 17-Apr-01 EXTENSIVE PARAMETERS: C-130 R Brn ratio C-130 R Brn ratio C-130 R Brn ratio C-130 R Brn ratio ambient RH 53 56 0.94 83 93 0.89 46 52 0.90 55 69 0.80 Total 550 Scatt, amb RH 58 52 1.11 168 275 0.61 127 103 1.24 50 50 1.00 Total abs, 550nm: 4.6 7.3 0.63 15.9 8.6 1.84 11.8 9.0 1.31 7.6 7.1 1.08 1.85 2.28* 1.79 2.34 1.48 1.84 1.78 2.43 0.91 0.85 0.92 0.90 0.92 0.85 0.88 INTENSIVE PARAMETERS: Total f(RH), 40-85%RH Total SSA 0.88 LEGEND: = C-130 parameter is larger = R. Brn parameter is larger = two values are equal! Courtesy Sarah Masonis et al. B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 4. With what accuracy can in situ measurements be integrated over the depth of the atmosphere to predict the observed radiative effects? Sun photometer extinction was modeled from Twin Otter composition and size data. The results were good except when large particles (dust or sea 1 2 3 45x10 salt) were present. (cm ) 3 -3 o ( C) 0 15 =525 nm =1059 nm 3 The C-130 LTI-derived size and composition data does not have this coarse particle disagreement, perhaps due to the LTI inlet (Redemann et al., 2003). 3.0x10 Altitude (m) 2.5 RH T N Predicted AATS-14 AATS-14 (averaged) 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 20 40 60 800 RH (%) 0.1 0.2 0 0.05 0.10 0.15 A erosol Extinction (1/km) Schmid, Hegg, Wang, Bates, Redemann, Russell, Livingston, Jonsson, Welton, Seinfeld, Flagan, Covert, Dubovik, and Jefferson, Column closure studies of lower tropospheric aerosol and water vapor during ACE-Asia using airborne sunphotometer, airborne in-situ and ship-based lidar measurements, J. Geophys. Res., submitted (ACE-Asia Special Issue), 2003. B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 Radiation column closure has been used to infer 0 and 550 (or SSA) ≈ 0.90-0.95 near surface, 0.95-0.98 (less absorbing) aloft (wavelength dependence) is larger for pollution than dust Elevated layers of coarse dust Fine pollution aerosols near the surface B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 12/02 Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 5. How much quantitative information about aerosols and their radiative impacts can be derived from satellites and other remote sensors? We have a rich data set of in situ profiles in satellite scenes Coordinated Twin C-130 Flights Otter MODIS 9 6 MISR 6 4 MISR/LM 3 unk SeaWiFS 7 8 NOAA-14 2 2 NOAA-16 4 B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 AOD is often derived from satellites How good is this retrieval? B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 Comparison of the SeaWiFS algorithm with airborne Sun Photometer data suggests there is room for improvement… Courtesy Schmid, Hsu et al. Many more satellite studies are underway… B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 Lidar remote sensing During a period in which the C-130 flew as close as possible to the Tokyo-area lidars, remarkable agreement was found between the TUMM Lidar, in situ extinction (PSAP & Nephelometer), and the AATS-6 Sun Photometer. Disagreement in the BL may be due to spatial variability in the metropolitan area. Murayama, et al., An intercomparison of lidar-derived aerosol optical properties with airborne measurements near Tokyo during ACE-Asia, JGR, 2003. B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 6. What is the radiative forcing by Asian aerosols and how does it change with emissions, time, and distance from the continent? Combining the SeaWiFS data and ACE-Asia in situ aerosol optical properties allows us to estimate the direct surface aerosol forcing: about -30 w/m2, large and negative (cooling) B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 “… monthly mean…aerosol direct effect… from a satellite method -2 to -4 W/m2 at TOA and -20 to -70 W/m2 at surface, … large regional difference caused by…AOT and SSA. “However … direct forcing … strongly depends on the estimation method of the aerosol properties, especially on the SSA. SPRINTARS aerosol model generates SSA values larger by 0.1 than surface-measured values, so that the modeled direct forcing at surface ranges from -3 to -10 W/m2 which are significantly smaller than those from satellite method. “…aerosol indirect effect is estimated from satellite method and SPRINTARS model as -1 to -3 W/m2 at both TOA and surface.” Nakajima, T., and APEX Science Team, Significance of direct and indirect radiative forcings of aerosols in the East Asian region, JGR, 2003. B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 From radiative flux measurements at Gosan: “The diurnal forcing efficiency was determined to be –73.1, -36.3, and – 41.7 Wm-2/500 for the total solar, near-infrared, and visible spectral regions.” “… a larger percentage of the flux at visible wavelengths is radiatively forced compared to the total and near-infrared portions of the solar spectrum.” Bush and Valero, Aerosol Radiative Forcing at Gosan during the ACE-Asia campaign, J. Geophys. Res., submitted (ACE-Asia Special Issue), 2003. B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 7. Are the available source inventories for Asian primary aerosols and gas-phase precursors sufficiently realistic to support assessments of control strategies? Our Observations of Asian Dust Have Already Improved Emissions inventories in models We Found More Than 1000 µg/m3 of Dust in the Yellow Sea. SeaWiFS Courtesy NASA and Orbimage Models had not included a drought-stricken region in Liaoning Province, which can now be a source of dust to Korea and Japan B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 BC Modeling issues “… it appears that the emission estimates of BC are qualitatively correct. “… emissions from Japan may be underestimated “… under predicting BC levels at low altitudes in the Yellow Sea [Carmichael et al., 2002]. “… reported BC values are very dependent on the analysis method. “… how best to use the surface data in the constraint of BC emission estimates. “… much of the flux of BC occurs at altitudes well above the surface layer. “… we do not have sufficient information upon which to constrain wet and dry removal fluxes of BC.” Uno, Carmichael, Street, Satake, Takemura, Woo, Uematsu, and Ohta, Analysis of surface black carbon distributions during ACE-Asia using a regional scale aerosol model, J. Geophys. Res., in press (ACE-Asia Special Issue), 2003. B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 Table 2. Estimated total emissions for April 2001 in East Asia. Ê Anthropogenic (Gg/Yr) Biomass Burning (Gg/Yr) Total (Gg/Yr) Uncertainty ± (%) SO2 2701 55 2756 16 NOx CO NMVOC 1863 17369 3309 407 10053 1791 2270 27422 5100 37 185 130 CH4 8377 460 8838 65 NH3 2186 136 2323 72 CO2 BC OC Wind BlownDust 709 166 578 167 67 498 877 233 1076 240,000-650,000 31 360 450 500 Anthro-PM10 2429 1264 3694 500 Anthro-PM2.5 1434 743 2178Ê 500 The ACE-Asia & TRACE-P observations are helping to reduce these uncertainties. Huebert et al., (ACE-Asia JGR Overview) taken from Streets et al., JGR, 2003 B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 8. How are aerosol properties and dynamics modified by the uptake of gases? C-130 RF06, 0351-0430, 448m asl Yellow Sea Dust C-130 MOI data: 8000 NSS and NH4, ng/sm3 Dust can modify pollutant chemistry and become coated with hygroscopic salts in the process. 6000 NSS 2000 4000 1000 2000 0 NO3- and Soluble Ca, ng/sm3 3000 0 0.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 2 3 GM Aerodynamic Diameter, µm 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Kline, Huebert, Howell, Bertram, Blomquist, Zhuang, and Heath, Chemical and physical size distributions vs altitude during ACE-Asia, J. Geophys. Res., in prep (ACE-Asia Special Issue B), 2003. B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 Clearly most NO3- was coarse and most SO4= was fine. But what were their origins? 1.0 Was SO2 adsorbed by the alkaline dust, or was some of this large-particle sulfate from gypsum at the source? Coarse NO3Fraction 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 5 10 15 20x10 3 Total_soluble_Ca_ng/sm3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 Coarse NSS fraction 0.8 1.0 Was HNO3 adsorbed, or was some Ca(NO3)2 from fertilizer? Kline, Huebert, Howell, Bertram, Blomquist, Zhuang, and Heath, Chemical and physical size distributions vs altitude during ACE-Asia, J. Geophys. Res., in prep (ACE-Asia Special Issue B), 2003. B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 What unknowns remain? Why do the some values from surface sites and the C-130 differ? Is it a measurement problem or a real difference? C-130/R.B.: C130/R.B.: C130/R.B.: same air advection- statistical parcel* matched* comparison all aerosol light scatter [Mm-1] low RH, 550nm D<1µm aerosol only all aerosol light absorption [Mm-1] low RH, 550nm D<1µm aerosol only 1.15 (7) 1.03 (7) 1.19 (7) 1.23 (5) Sarah Masonis Harmony paper 1.17 (4) 0.93 0.65 1.07 0.68 1.09 (4) 0.71 0.52 0.94 0.59 1.22 (4) 1.20 0.86 1.39 1.04 1.19 (2) 1.20 1.22 1.58 1.33 C-130/G os.: C130/Gos.: C130/Gos.: same air advection- statistical + parcel* matched*+ comparison 1.35 (5) 1.11 (4) 1.14 (5) 1.03 (4) 1.09 (4) 1.06 (3) 0.98 (4) 0.93 (3) 1.34 (5) 1.11 (4) 1.12 0.98 1.11 0.96 1.21 (5) 1.12 (4) 0.88 0.48 0.77 0.78 1.07 (4) 1.04 (3) 0.91 0.57 0.95 1.01 1.00 (4) 1.04 (3) 1.18 0.66 1.05 1.25 B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 What unknowns remain? Need better total aerosol mass measurements, esp in dust Need to standardize BC/EC measurements Need to standardize many other measurements, too! Need profile (airborne) measurements near dust source regions Need evolution observations …and many more... etc. B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 What have we learned from ACE-Asia? 1. Air pollution changes dust aerosols in many ways, adding black carbon, toxic materials, and acidic gases to the mineral particles. These change its impact on health, climate, and the delivery of nutrient iron to the remote Pacific ocean. 2. The dust that goes from East Asia to the Pacific does not absorb nearly as much light as the dark aerosol from South Asia or some previous Saharan dust data. There are dramatic regional differences in the optical properties of aerosols. 3. Combining ACE-Asia suborbital and satellite measurements yields monthly average (April 2001), cloud-free aerosol radiative forcing at the surface in ACE-Asia exceeding -30 W m-2 in a plume downwind of Japan and in the Yellow Sea, East China Sea, and Sea of Japan. B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 ACE-Asia Ship and Aircraft Platforms B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 ACE-Asia Participants and Resources >100 Scientific Groups 13 Countries Surface Sites Aircraft >30 in Japan, China, Korea, Chinese Taipei, Hawaii NSF/NCAR C-130 China, Japan, South Korea, Chinese Tapiei, USA, Canada, France, Germany, Australia, UK, India, Russia, Netherlands Forecast Models >35 Funding Agencies Satellites MATCH, NCAR CFORS, Kyushu/Iowa GOCART, Goddard TERRA SeaWiFS CIRPAS Twin Otter ARA KingAir Ships R/V Ron Brown R/V Mirai Lidars ADNet, in Japan, Korea, China SABLE on C-130 AVHRR GMS B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 ACE-Asia Network Observations: Courtesy PMEL B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03 Understanding Climate: Aerosol Forcings Cause the Largest Uncertainty in the Earth’s Radiation Budget Source: IPCC Third Assessment Report Source: IPCC ThirdB.Huebert, Assessment Report ACE-Asia, 03/03 Instrument Intercomparisons - Harmony How confident can we be of any given measurement? KingAir: 1 P-3: 2 C-130 Kosan 7 3 2 3-5 Ron Brown B.Huebert, ACEAsia, 03/03 Twin Otter Harmony - what can we learn from it? Ratio C-130/Ron Brown 5-Apr-05 9-Apr-05 13-Apr-01 17-Apr-01 EXTENSIVE PARAMETERS: C-130 R Brn ratio C-130 R Brn ratio C-130 R Brn ratio C-130 R Brn ratio ambient RH 53 56 0.94 83 93 0.89 46 52 0.90 55 69 0.80 Total 550 Scatt, amb RH 58 52 1.11 168 275 0.61 127 103 1.24 50 50 1.00 Total abs, 550nm: 4.6 7.3 0.63 15.9 8.6 1.84 11.8 9.0 1.31 7.6 7.1 1.08 1.85 2.28* 1.79 2.34 1.48 1.84 1.78 2.43 0.91 0.85 0.92 0.90 0.92 0.85 0.88 INTENSIVE PARAMETERS: Total f(RH), 40-85%RH Total SSA 0.88 LEGEND: = C-130 parameter is larger = R. Brn parameter is larger = two values are equal! 1. The certainty that any individual number represents a region 2. The uncertainty in average quantities from each platform These are very different things. Courtesy Sarah Masonis et al. B.Huebert, ACE-Asia, 03/03