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Anouj Mehta Senior Infrastructure Finance Specialist (Public Private Partnerships) ADB’s Assistance for PPP’s in India On-Going & Proposed Initiatives 26-27 February 2009, Bhopal, BACKGROUND: Growth Fuelled Infrastructure Pressures Years of Investment Lags Rapid economic growth Population, Income & Consumption Levels Growth POWER Rapid Urbanisation Severe Capacity WATER Pressures TRANSPORT On All Sectors SOCIAL SECTORS BACKGROUND: Huge Investment Needs Estimated at US$ 500 billion over next 5 years Sectors US $ billion ELECTRICITY 150.37 ROADS 81.24 TELECOMS 65.12 RAILWAYS 62.20 PORTS 18.03 AIRPORTS 8.46 WATER SUPPLY & SANITATION 48.57 IRRIGATION 52.98 OTHER – Storage / Gas 10.46 TOTAL 497.55 Sectoral Shares (%) Sector-wise Public (%) Sector-wise Private (%) 30.2MW Capacity 73.6 • 70,000 / Coverage 26.4 expansion 16.3 66.2 33.8 3.6 26.3 73.7 • 6,500 km Golden Quadrilateral / North-South 13.1 73.6 / 11,113 km 26.4 and East-West corridors Nat. Highways Expressways 17 / 7,616 km 12.5 / 1,000 km 83 National Highways in North East • Dedicated freight corridors 1.7 25.8 74.2 • 10,300 kms of new railway lines 9.8 97.3 2.7 • 21 stations’ modernisation 10.7 100 • 485 MT in major ports -- 2.1 50/82.4 50/17.6 100.0 70.8 29.2 A huge ask of private sector Not Just Funds…….but also EFFICIENCIES Poor Institutional Structures Weak Incentives Poor Tariffs, Cost Recoveries & Financial Sustainability SUSTAINABLE INFRASTRUCTURE DIVERSE FUNDING SOURCES EFFICIENT USAGE OF ASSETS EFFICIENT DEMAND MANAGEMENT OF RESOURCES Outdated MIS and FM Systems IDEAL REALITY Majority Public Large T&D / NRW Losses Large Wastages • Increasing impact on natural resources which are fast depleting Interlinked – Efficient, predictable, financially sustainable enterprises will attract diverse funding options Typical Situation Bulk water sourced Technical Losses Upstream Water post treatment avail for distr Commercial Losses - Theft Billed Quantity Collection Efficiency Collected Bills - related Quantity Population 2009 End Amount Supplied Operations Today 187 m litres p.d. 5% 178 m litres p.d. 16% 149 m litres p.d. 67% 100 m litres p.d. 1,000,000 100 lpcd Lost Water 9 m litres p.d. 28 m litres p.d. 49 m litres p.d. 87 m litres p.d. 31,762 m litres p.a. • Implications •Less than 135 lpcd supplied – even the above 100 lpcd hugely un-even •Coverage poor •Sewerage situation even worse •WILL GET WORSE as population increases •Bulk water sources under severe pressure – looking for sources 50 kms away from city now •Investments of Rs 500 + crores required in BWS, Distribution etc Even the 4 buckets a day will fall to 2 if nothing is done!! Funding?? •Normal focus will be •To enhance bulk water •Find investments from government for capex •JNNURM – limited supply •Commercial finance – limited •SUSTAINABILITY is the key – both JNNURM and banks want that for lending Rs Tariff Revenues Billed Collected Operating Costs (extrapolated) Operating Ratio Net Bleed Every Day 21 Rs per kilo litre 3,133,746 2,099,610 4,031,251 1.92 (1,931,641) PER DAY Certainly not sustainable!! Phase in a PPP Solution o Focus is not just funds but IBM: • • • Institutional ring fencing and efficient delivery Benchmarking and measuring performance improvements Managing for MAINTENANCE not just CAPEX • PPP Phase in • • Short term for technical baseline development, institutions development and revenue enhancements - for improving financials and confidence Medium term for expansion and larger capex investments Simple Things: a) Improve collection efficiency b) Reduce commercial losses (cum) c) Improve tariffs - 15% increase d) Improve cost management - power Available funds per day now Improvement 90% 5% 24 10% reductions in cost Increase in Collection by (Rs per day) 720,761 1,090,096 1,545,768 1,971,677 40,036 ADB Assistance for PPPs PPP is seen as one key solution • Attract FRESH FUNDS into sector • Develop Utility Institution’s EFFICIENCIES • Faster response to CONSUMERS P Policy Strengthening • Policy for private – domestic & foreign investment • Regulation & Monitoring • Incentives for PPP’s • User charges policies • Viability support S Strong Stakeholder Capacities • Local and central government capacities to contract with and monitor PPPs • Good transaction advisory support • Good domestic contractors / operators Need for an Enabling Environment P S S T S Supply of long term funds T Trust Amongst ALL Stakeholders • Long term to match long gestation infrastructure • Awareness for all – ee’s, consumers, private players • Competitive and risk based • Strong domestic funding institutions with risk analysis ability • Transparency in process • Participatory processes ADB’s Support to Government of India for Mainstreaming PPPs Follows the Value Chain Technical Assistance (TA) - Funds - Expertise Catalytic Lending Products - With & Without Recourse - Co-financing - Credit enhancement products Awareness & Capacity Building • For all stakeholders Sector Specific PPP Policy Development PPP Project Structuring – Demonstration Projects •Frameworks for PPP •Good early precedents Lending Window for PPP Projects -Non / Sub Sovereign Facility •Catalytic risk sharing funds ADB Initiatives: Capacity Building - State Level TA 4890: Mainstreaming PPP at State Level (on-going) SCOPE • $ 3 million Technical Assistance program • Further $2 million in final stage of Board approval – approved already by President • Focused on 15 states FOCUS: Strengthening PPP Cells and Capacities by a) providing PPP and MIS in-house consultants for an extended period and b) access to legal advisory services • PREPARATORY: PPP constraints identification, PPP Frameworks and policies development • CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT: Training, manuals, good practices, improving systems for bid document and project appraisals, risk management systems • INSTITUTIONALISATION: MIS development, consultations with stakeholders, quality checks and improvements on PPP/bid documents, project pipeline conceptualisation and supervision of projects ADB Initiatives: Capacity Building - State Level TA 4890: Mainstreaming PPP at State Level (contd.) • STATUS 13 PPP Specialists – 12 states and DEA 14 MIS specialists appointed – 14 states and DEA A Legal Advisory Panel A large number of activities are taking place within the PPP Cells: Workshops and training activities – including on risk, capacity development, sector focus (urban, health, education), etc Exposure Visits and consultations with private sector and international governments Value added assistance being provided by cells to projects from across sectoral departments and ministries in project risk structuring, improving bid documents Assistance being provided for financial closure including VGF applications Development of action plans for project pipeline development – urban, health, education Several project concepts for PPP projects are being developed within the states for further DEA / ADB assistance Tremendous Response from States ADB Initiatives: Capacity Building - Central Level TA 4993: Mainstreaming PPP at Central Line Ministries (on-going) SCOPE $ 2 million Technical Assistance program Focused on 6 line ministries Strengthening PPP Cells and Capacities FOCUS Strengthening PPP Cells and Capacities by a) providing PPP and MIS in-house consultants for an extended period and b) access to legal advisory services PREPARATORY: PPP constraints identification, PPP Frameworks and policies development CAPACITY DEVELOPMENT: Training needs assessments, training, good practices inculcation, improvement in systems for project appraisals and bid processes INSTITUTIONALISATION: MIS development, consultations, quality checks and improvements on PPP/bid documents, project pipeline conceptualisation and supervision of projects ADB Initiatives: Sector Specific PPP Policy Assistance Health & Education PPP Frameworks (TA 4890 Related) SCOPE Assistance provided for developing a PPP Framework for Health and Education KPMG Consultants recruited Cross sector-division ADB team worked with DEA (SAGF, SAUD, SANS) Urban PPP workshops for all states held in Jaipur and Hyderabad in October 2007 (cross ADB divisions) States developed action plans for PPP projects Follow up activities co-ordinated by PPP Cells leading to pipeline of over 20 PPP project proposals from states ACTIVITIES Consultation Visits with 5 states - T.N., Orissa, Uttarakhand, Rajasthan, A.P. ADB-KPMG Consultants Report Produced 6 PPP Models Identified Framework for PPP development outlined Consultation Workshops on Draft Report held Ahmedabad & Panjim (February and April) 2008 Workshop to evolve project concepts held - Panjim, April 08 – leading to a proposed concept pipeline of 20 projects Assisted by PPP Cells in co-ordination and workshops – now assisting on project proposal development Meetings being held with DEA and ADB for structuring projects and taking to market Tremendous interest from states in developing projects further in a challenging area ADB Initiatives: PPP Project Structuring Assistance TA PPP Pilot Projects Initiative CONCEPT Projects being evolved in the PPP Cells and across states and sectors Need for assisting in structuring good pilot PPP projects • Create “demonstration” models • Allows for replication across country • ADB presence will improve risk perception • Catalyse private sector involvement List of potential projects for TA already identified by DEA with assistance from PPP Cells – further can be added on TA will leverage ADB TA funds with GOI development funds (IIPDF) to quickly provide transaction advisory and project preparation assistance to PPP proposals Flexible, value added, quick response modality – first such TA from ADB THANK YOU For inquiries: Anouj Mehta Tel No.: +632 632-5930/5968 Fax No.: +632 636-2337 Email: [email protected]